ok, i'll play along... agree on 6, disagree on 4...

1. Yes
2. Under
3. Under
4. Over
5. Yes
6. Over
7. Under
8. Over
9. Over
10. Over

i'm sure i didn't put nearly as much thought into it as you did...

however, i will say i think a couple of those are gimmes... particularly #9 and #10...

Insight... Garcon is one of the best bets to be the MVP in this game... Saints secondary will have no choice but to double Reggie Wayne all day long... if they do not Wayne will have close to 200 yards receiving...

they will opt to let other WRs beat them... and when they do, they will unleash Garcon... who, even the best CB on the Saints, does not have a shot in hell of being able to cover...

over 4.5 is a gimme... he'll have at least 4 by halftime... AND, more importantly... there is no way you can lost both #9 and #10, unless both of them get injured...

taking the under on #9 is a very unwise betting decision... very unwise!

I do not think they double Reggie. The status quo in the NFL is to watch the tape and then go against it. If they watch the playoff tape, they do not double Reggie.  They go single because they forget Reggie is one bad ass mf.

He blows em up and cashes the prop.  My two cents. I would bet one of these or the other, I do not like em both. It is either Garcon or Wayne, maybe not both.

1. Will the game ever be tied after 0-0? Yes +110

like this

2. Saints total 3rd down Conversions: Over 5.5 -125

sounds good

3. Saints total rushing yards: Over 100.5 -115 (they will try to control the clock by rushing a lot).

like where your heads at

4. Colts total rushing yards: Under 99.5 -115 (they only average 80 rushing ypg this season).

dunno about this one- if they take the lead and run the clock your done...

5. Will there be a score in the first 5 1/2 minutes? Yes +105

iffy- but looks good- five and half minutes isn't a long time.

6. Reggie Bush rushing attempts: Over 4.5 -115 (He had attempts of 5 and 7 in the two playoff games).

tough to tell, he doesn't run the ball a lot

7. Pierre Thomas rushing attempts: Over 11.5 -115 (13 and 14 previous two).

better bet than bush

8. Joseph Addai longest rush: Over 12.5 yards -115 (Just look at the stats on this one).

like this one alot.  13  yard run is not hard to get in this game with the defenses so worried about the pass.

9. Reggie Wayne total receiving yards: Over 74.5 -115 (He's due for a big game).

agree

10. Pierre Garcon total receptions: Over 4.5 -115 (Hit this the last two games at 3.5, gotta ride it one more time).

definitley, his numbers were skewed last game and he will not have close to 11, but the colts throw the ball a ton- wayne isn't going to catch everything.  garcon should grab at least 5 or 6 receptions at a minimum

Crashdavis-  I want to narrow this list down so I just might take one of those away.

Bustin Piles- I like that you agree with most even though I don't know who Greer is?

Scooter-  I think both Thomas and Bush over rushing attempts look solid.

Michfan-  I guarantee I'm taking #4 off the list. However, I hate that everything else I got is Over's!

Sorry just getting back to reading this thread

Jabari Greer very underrated CB and great free agent acquistion doesn't get the pub of other cornerbacks in the league. Played very well against some elite WR's this season including Fitzgerald, TO, and Calvin Johnson.

Article

BP... i agree that Greer is underrated... but i don't think i agree that this is a game where he will really be able to showcase himself... Reggie Wayne is a bad matchup for any and every CB in the NFL...

if Greer doesn't get some help over the top, he will get burned on a long one...

JackedUp- I can't believe another site had 8.5!!! Under that for sure. Question: What do they have Pierre Thomas at?

Simon- I know trust me these bets are more for shits and giggles. It's the only time of year I play them. The real  will be on the Colts with ya!!

nc1capper- I can't put money on something that can't be capped, but I would almost guarantee they show Archie's face more then 3 times.  GL 

Andarmac...how are you my man?

I like that prop.

Well Wayne did stay under but it wasn't because Greer was matched up on him exclusively (Porter )

I think his knee was bigger issue than was being reported, he did not even attempt to try and catch up to Porter. BTW am I the only one who thought Manning was clearly blocked in the back during the return . Glad it wasn't called but still.

Victory parade at 5 fellows

HIgh praise indeed!

Hey guys pretty nice thread here. I still believe that Wayne has a big day, but am not  100% convinced. Just went through all the Colt playoff games over the last couple of years and save one or two, he has not hit any home runs. The Colts save the superbowl year, have also not been a great playoff team.  I think the Aints do look to stop Wayne and make the Colts spread it around. This prop is very very tough because MANNING WILL TAKE WHAT IS THERE!

Boy (manning)  will not force anything and who knows what will be there.  Have to admit if they go Greer and do not move him with Wayne then those opposing number one stats stated above look pretty dead on. Wayne should beat  the 2 and 3 corners easy.  This one looks tough though and I like others much more after reconsidering.

Overall, I am going to make a little wager on Reggie.   I will make a large prop wager on Brees over 279.5, this has much more appeal to me. Manning is at 300 and Brees who  leads him most years in yards thrown but does not get the name is 20 yards less. The Colts have faced four top caliber qbs this year....Schaub twice, Brady and Warner all have gone over this number. In a game with the over at 57 (!) and  to me no Dwight Freeney, this is the prop of the game to me.  If the Colts get the lead (as everyone thinks) Brees may get 45 attempts and should go well over this number.

IMHO

GLA

Crash

I looked back at the Wayne prop from a lot of angles to hammer it. I really liked it before I looked at the Colts and Wayne in BIG GAMES (playoff or big season games i.e. patriots). I came away thinking that Manning goes much more to Clark in this game. I at first thought they would leave Wayne in single coverage but I think he gets his normal double and the "other guys " must beat us is the idea.

I was going to hammer that one and now am going to pass, just fyi, for what it is worth.

Crash

Check that out!..WOW! I have never hit so many plays at one time or during such a big game. The game played out exactly as I stated. The ball will get thrown around at a high completeion % but it would be played in between the 20's and it would not make an over. What a day! 

1. Austin Collie Receptions Over 4 -125

2. Austin Collie Over 50.5 Yards -115

3. Drew Brees Completions Over 24.5 -135

4. Peyton Manning Completions Over 25 -130

5. Pierre Garcon Receptions Over 4.5 -140

6. Pierre Garcon Over 60.5 Yards -120

7. Reggie Bush Rushing + Receiving Yards Over 53.5 -135

8. First Score Of The Game Will Be FG or Safety +190

9. Will Either Team Score 3 Unanswered Times - NO +145

10. Largest Lead At Any Time Under 16.5 Pts. +100

11. Marquis Colston Completions Over 4.5 -145

Good luck with everyones picks and GO SAINTS!

Tooez- here you go...

What Commercial will be highest rated according to USA Today’s annual Ad meter?

Budweiser…5/8

Go. Daddy….8/1

Career Building…8/1

Coca-Cola….7/1

Family First….12/1

Doritos…..2/1

Other…..13/5

Last year Doritos won as a 7/1 dog or something.  Go. Daddy could do something crazy and isn’t bad at 8/1.  Coca-cola ads never really impress anyone I feel like, just usually some thing with the polar bear or something.  Doritos odds aren’t good enough, plus I don’t think they’ll repeat.  Budweiser could pull something hilarious, the too light, too heavy campaign was pretty good, but bad odds.  Other at almost 3/1 seems like the best choice here.  I’ve done some research, the following companies have ads in the superbowl (i.e. who you get by betting Other):  Audi, boost mobile, bridgestone, cars.com, Denny’s, Emerald Nuts, Dockers, Dr. Pepper/Snapple, E-Trade, EA, Honda, Hyundai, Intel, Kia, KGB, Snickers, Monster, Motorola, Motorola, Monster, Qualcomm, Telefora, TruTV, Unilever, universal pictures, Viacom- paramount pictures, vizio, Volkswagon,Yum-Taco Bell. 

That’s a shitload of solid companies and a bunch of them have a solid chance to win. Snickers, Taco-bell, E-trade, all capable of pulling quality commercials.  All you have to worry about is Budweiser and Doritos.  If they pull some extremely funny shit it might be hard to beat, but thers also the chance Bud or Doritos could flop which should lead to an easy win.  Play the numbers, bet Other and take the +260.        

think i'll do my best MI impersonation...

thanks for the heads up!  guess us Donks took you to the woodshed on that one... won it even with the dropped pass... all Garcon props over, as i predicted...

me, too (re: the Archie Manning prop)... why in God's name would any book offer that prop?  it is not only a sure thing... but it does not depend at all on which team is winning, and it will go over easily...

Piles... you leaning to NO in this one?

Scooter:  GL with that Addai over, sucks your juice is so high but I still like it.

Crash: I like that Brees over prop, that's the only way to go if your playing the QB yards. Only reason I'm not is because I think the only way Saints win is to slow the game down and keep Colts offense off the field. And the only way to do that is with long drives, which is why I've liked both Thomas and Bush rushing attempts over from the start.  

JackedUp: I'm not surprised by that, 8.5 is a lot of attempts for Bush. I also wouldn't play Pierre Thomas at 14.5 as that seems spot on. That's why I like my line

BustinPiles:  thanks for the info. I will most likely lay off the Wayne receiving yards prop.  

Crash: As stated I too originally loved the Wayne yards then decided not to play it. Think I found better ones to play.

5time: I played that Overtime prop in the Vikes/Saints game at +1200   However, there's no way I would do that in this game.  GL to you as well, let us know if you find any others you like.

Michfan:  GL with that prop, looks like some others agree with you in your thread.

Hey guys just got back from Vegas. Pretty rough Sunday but not as bad as A TON of other people out there. Played the under for 5 units when I found 57.5 at the Orleans which saved me some on the Colts ML play.

smokin376:  Very, very nice job on your props and I have to thank you sir. I found the first score of the game prop (#8) at the Orleans at +200 and played it with you. That payed for 2 of the 3 losers I had.

Officially my posted props went 2-3. There were so many chances for the game to be tied again but it never happened. Sorry to any that tailed me.