usjust2's Blog

MLB 1/4 Season Line-Movement Plays

By usjust2 | View all Posts
Posted Monday, August 17, 2009 12:45 AM   5 comments
Hello, kinda new to covers, been around for a few months and havent posted my plays in the forum this year.  I call myself a line-movement expert if you will.  My plays have nothing to do with capping ball games or anything of that nature.  If we all could cap games we would be broke or have absolutely no time for our family and ourselves.  Also most cappers have family time throughout the year and on those days they dont spend time they need to provide everyone with quality plays everyday, all the time.  These are the days you here cappers say to their people who follow them, "Sorry about the losing plays, I've been busy on vacation or with family.  It will get better."  In the mean time all of the players following them are losing their roll.  My plays are strickly monitoring line movements throughtout the day which includes the early movement as soon as the lines are released to the late action which moves the lines.  I study the sharp money vs. the square money and i derive my plays from those concepts along with the movement of the line throughout the day.  These arent steam move plays by any means, my plays are a conclusion of the line movement from when they open to when they close.  I understand my record from the beginning of the season to the day of this post doesnt mean squat since they werent posted but for what it matters this year i am 234-151, +214 units with the unit value set at $100.00 per unit.  Alot of my plays, about 70% of them, are dogs.  I do not play any Favs over about -135 or higher as there is no value in the long run for those type of Favs.  Today my plays were KC, ML - San Diego, ML - Washington, ML - Cleveland, ML which was a 3-1 mark tonight.  I will start posting my plays starting in the morning for tomorrows action.  I always post my leans the night before the day of the games so i will be posting leans for the action of 08/17 in a few minutes.  BOL
 
5 comments
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dms79 says:
08/17/09 02:14AM

Felt like I was reading my own post, with your perspective on capping and playing off psychology/line movement.  Continued success, and check out my thread and lemme know what you think of my picks.

Rocksaki says:
08/17/09 02:45AM
What website or line tracker do you use?
ruthian_00 says:
08/17/09 03:04AM
who did u wind up betting for 3K yesterday, u ask for suggestions in ur thread. I gave some reasons for Houston yesterday, are u gonna pick a paypal winner?
Rocksaki says:
08/17/09 12:29PM
I'll friend request you so you can PM some of them
PS150 says:
08/17/09 04:39PM
Us, this might sound like a dumb question but what does line movement have to do with pitching?..For example, I like the Cards tonite with Carpenter..Unless I hear about a injury etc., I would place a small wager on the Cards..Especially with a rookie knuckleballer going for the Manny's..Your thoughts, ideas?
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User: usjust2
Joined: July 2009
Location: Nevada
Team: San Francisco Giants
Occupation: Other

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