A Ball State local sportswriter predicts A CMU blowout

Who am I to argue ??   

CMU -15.5 

CMU is clearly superior and their only appearance on national TV regular season.  Its gonna be ugly.  Lefevor looking for a chance to sell his NFL stock.

Link to the local article

My Weather Related Play Today

5-6 ytd    

31-14 lifetime in posted weather factor plays...  

San Jose state climbs up in altitude to Logan UT to play Utah State at 1 pm MDT.  San Jose coming off a short week after getting manhandled on Sunday against Nevada.  Utah State also also coming off a loss against Hawaii.  Conditions will be quite cold during the game with temperatures near 30 degrees and a north wind of 10 to 15 mph.  Wind Chill in the lower 20s expected with San Jose playing out of their element.

I expect a lot of rushing from UT St where they are near the tops in their conference.  San Jose near the bottom in rush defense as Nevada Put up 517 on the ground against them on Sunday.


http://hjnews.townnews.com/articles/2009/11/14/sports/sports03-11-14-09.txt

U 55 2.5 units    

Early weather factoring the Pats/Titans game Sunday

The winless Titans go up to visit Brady and company at the home confines for a late 4 pm game.  Weather is going to be nasty all weekend in the Northeast as a low gets cranked up offshore new England and moves up the coast. Strong Northeast winds and periods of showers will plague the game. I think the Pats will do more ball control than typical in these conditions.  Titans in a world of hurt now and Sunday not going to help their cause.

The big apple will also see some adverse weather conditions...however after looking at the particulars in the matchup I have a no play on the Jets/Bills right now.

U 43  Pats/Titans

My biggest weather play Saturday

5-3 ytd   31-11 lifetime in posted weather factor plays...
New Mexico @ Wyoming Saturday 2 pm EDT

New Mexico takes their inept 0-5 team up to Laramie to play WY at 6000' altitude. Current forecast calling for winds gusting to 30+ mph along with wind chill factor near zero and a 40 percent chance of snow.  Both teams not terribly stellar on offense looking at their numbers. 

A low pressure area getting cranked up just south of area will increase winds big time during the game.  I really like the time of the game also to coincide with this.

U 47 - 7 units.

Weather WILL factor in MO/NEB

4-3 ytd   30-11 lifetime in posted weather factor plays...

Rain to start early Thursday in Columbia MO and continue into the night. One model I look at places the heaviest stripe of rain right over central MO Thursday evening with the other model the heaviest amount somewhat south of the Columbia area at the same time. At any rate we are looking at a significant amount of rain in the area for Thursday and the coaches will likely adjust their game plans upon seeing this very large amount of rain. Rain amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible in the 6 hour window surrounding the game time.  If it does pan out it may turn out like the VT/Miami game with continuous heavy rain.  Im not sure about the continuous rain but Ive got a 6 unit play...

U 52.5       

     

Capping weather into football games

Things to share in what I look for when factoring weather into certain games.  As far as NCAA, I generally find the best opportunities. There are numerous game sites to choose from across the country through the week.  The lines also do not tend to be as tight as the NFL and thus adverse weather conditions can greatly increase the chances an initially high line can be affected.   Games with high lines are capped mainly due to explosive passing and weak defenses, but weather will affect the length of pass attempts as well as number in some situations.  The same holds true for kicking.  As an experiment go out when the wind is blowing at least 20 mph sustained and try to throw a football to someone standing 40 to 60 feet away.  Its harder than you think.  Now have them run and try to do it. 

I start by looking at various sources of data, virtually all of which are available over the Internet.  I have been a meteorologist since 1990 and in my profession. I am adept at looking at weather in remote sites.  I mainly look for strong wind as well as moderate to heavy precipitation.  Another thing is to analyze the field orientation and openess of the stadium. I prefer to play natural grass surfaces as well. There is a lot I can share about what I have learned but some things about how I do this I have to keep to myself.

In addition to playing adverse weather games I also go the other way when ... [More]