Super Tuesday

Yesterday: 1-1  -0.3 units
Season: 96-92  (+12.26 units)

Phi/LAD under 10  +105  (1 unit)
   Just a hunch here. Signs point to the over, but the number is about as high as an NL game will get and you're getting money to take the under. Let's just hope for a good start out of Kershaw.

Atlanta +110 (2 units)
  Won without Chipper last night and now they have their second best pitcher on the hill against one of New York's most inconsistent. Riding the Braves money train from stop 1.

Milwaukee RL +105 (1 unit)
  Milwaukee crushes left handed pitching and Koronka probably won't go more than 5 anyways in this spot start. Parra has finally started spotting his fastball and cut down on the walks. This may be a homer play, but I see Milwaukee scoring at least 8 and they should hold Florida under 6. I didn't like the odds on the over so I'm just playing the run line.

Detroit +123  (2 units)
  I always back Galarraga when he's getting money. Slowey has been hit hard his last few starts so I feel confident in the Tigers getting a W tonight.

San Diego +123 (2 units)
  Continue to get good value for Peavy. The Cubs are struggling as is Rich Harden. If the Padres can get his pitch count up early and get to the bullpen by the 6th, they should win this one.

Was/SF under 8  even (1 unit)
   Two solid pitchers against two below average offenses in a pitchers park.... [More]

Small ticket Monday

Season: 95-91 (+12.56)

Chicago White Sox +128 (2 units)
  Equal lineups and teams but CWS has the much better pitching IMO. Floyd over Pavano and I also like their bullpen better as well.

Atlanta +170 (1 unit)
  Simply a value play. Lowe is Atlanta's top starter and has the ability to compete with Johan in a pitchers duel. The Mets haven't supported Santana with many runs this year. I'm sure the Braves could win this match-up 2 out of every 5 games, which makes this a good value.

Good luck!

Mothers Day Special Plays

Daily total: 4-4  (-0.8 units)
Monthly Total: 4-4  (-0.8 units)
Season Total:  92-89 (+11.58)

Florida/Colorado under 9.5 +102 (2 units)
  Cook is a very good pitcher at home and Volstad has the stuff to shut anyone out. Both offenses are middle of the pack so don't expect either to single handedly cover the over.

Giants/Dodgers over 7.5  -115 (1 unit)
   Jeff Weaver fade. Still in shock that he only gave up 1 run in his first start against Arizona. They had plenty of opportunities, but he got out of a lot of jams.
 
KC/Angels over 9.5  -110  (1 unit)
   Neither starter or bullpen are very good IMO. Davies pitched well this year unitl his last start. Loux is still an emergency fill in until they can get some of their starters healthy.

Toronto +104 (1 unit)
   Going with the better offense and team. The A's have not seen Cecil yet, so that may play in the Jays favor as well.

Tampa Bay +130 (2 units)
  Matt Garza has had a lot of success against the Sox. The Rays are playing great right now and at this price, how can you not take them?

Good luck everyone!

Back From Vegas and Back to picking

I'm back from my Vegas vacation and ready to build up my covers win totals again.

Season to date: 88-85  +12.38 units
   Sides: 64-53 +22.68
   Totals: 24-32  -10.3

Atlanta +101  (1 unit)
  Fading Joe Blanton. Hasn't been a good fade this year, but Atlanta has it's second best starter on the hill, so I like this combination.

San Francisco +131 (2 units)
  Sanchez is hit or miss but has the stuff to throw a shutout any night. The Dodgers are now a left handed dominant lineup with She-man out of the lineup. The Dodgers could still be in shock over the news as they looked pathetic last night.

Cubs +138 (1 unit)
  Cubs dominated the Crew in Miller Park last year. I know they're without Lee and Ramirez, but I still like their swagger against my home town team. Dempster can be effective against the Brewers right hand dominant lineup.

San Diego (1 unit) even
   Brian Moehler fade. One of the worst starters in baseball IMO. Even the pathetic Padre lineup should be able to score 6 against him. Especially in a hitter friendly park.

SD/Hou over 9.5  -105  (2 units)
   Moehler stinks and Correia is unlikely to toss a shutout. First one to 8 will win this game.

Wash/Az under 9.5 even (2 units)
  Washington has been hitting the cover off the ball and Arizona can't hit a beach ball. Davis is a pitcher who will frustrate you with his de... [More]