Second losing day out of 10 and guess what? Both losing days were Fridays. One more, and it will be a trend that I'll start fading.
Yesterday: 4-5
-3.7 unitsSeason: 52-34
+27.53 Sides: 38-17
+32.78 Totals: 14-17
-5.25
Saturday Plays:
Atlanta even (1 unit) I don't like to go with struggling teams, but it's a fade on Ian Snell. Ever since his arm injury 2 years ago, he has been pretty useless as a pitcher.
Fla/Wash over 8.5 -110 (1 unit) We're jumping off the Marlin money train because of the juice. Scott Olsen has been a great fade the past 2 years so the run line won't be a bad play. I"m saving the juice and banking on the Marlins scoring a lot of runs.
Milwaukee +155 (1 unit) Good value. The Mets aren't a lot better than the Brewers and both teams have their aces on the hill. Last year Milwaukee hit Santana well and beat him in Shea. I look for a repeat this year.
St Louis +110 (1 unit) They should have won yesterday, but the bullpen let LaRussa down once again. This is a big series and I don't see St Louis getting swept. I think Dempster over achieved last year and Lohse has been good the past few Aprils.
Oakland +120 (2 units) A's are playing great and have their top prospect on the hill. Tallet gets the spot start for Toronto in place of the injured Litsch, so I expect Cito will have to go to the pen early which is never good.
LAA/Min over 9 -110 (2 units) Ride the hot bats in a series while you can. Slowey got rocked last outing and Darren Oliver is older than the news that Carpenter went on the DL.
Cleveland +110 (1 unit) Fading both the Yankees and Wang. He has to prove to me that he can get someone out. Yankees still aren't hitting well even though they had a lot of solo HR's yesterday.
Kansas City +109 (2 units) Backing Greinke in this one. If Meche can slow down the Rangers, so can Greinke. Millwood has pitched well, but he's not as consistent as Greinke. Also, Greinke's shrink said he was in a good state of mind for this start.
KC/Tex over 9.5 even (1 unit) Keep playing the overs in Arlington until it loses. This is the lowest total in the past 6 games there and you get even money! Good value even though 2 solid pitchers are on the hill.
Colorado +145 (1 unit) Billingsly is a stud, but I'm banking on Cook and his sinker. This should be a close, low scoring game, and Broxton may not be available after pitching 1 2/3 last night.
Az/SF over 8 even (1 unit) Lincecum has been horrendous and Doug Davis is usually pretty bad as well. I'll take the low number for even money.
11 plays is enough for tonight. Good luck everyone!