wilterdink's Blog

Monday picks...59-46 +23.89 for the season

By wilterdink | View all Posts
Posted Monday, April 20, 2009 09:59 AM   27 comments
My losing skid has gone to 3 days. Nothing like a light scheduled rainy Monday to start another winning week.

Season: 59-46  +23.89
   Sides: 42-25  +30.14
   Totals: 17-21  -6.25

Bos RL -105 (1 unit) I'm not a fan of Run line plays and I'm 0-1 on the season. This is a fade on Mark Hendrickson and a backing of the Sox on marathon day. Masterson has great upside, but is just getting a spot start, so the Sox bullpen will most likely come into play by the 6th. They have a solid pen so the 6+ runs they get off of Hendrickson early should hold up.

Bal/Bos over 10.5 +105 (2 units) Good hitting teams + mediocre pitching + day game = runs runs runs.

FL -107 (2 units) Ride the money train. I jumped off board yesterday and they are due to lose, but I'll continue to back them as long as there's some value and they keep winning.

fl/pit over 9.5 -110 (1 unit) No real reason on this one other than just a gut feel.

SD +144 (1 unit)
Phillies bullpen has been horrendous so this game gives good value. All games in the series have been decided by the bullpen.

Was +140 (2 units)
Despite their 1-10 record, they are playing good baseball in all phases except for the bullpen. At this value, I will take the chance that their bullpen can hold a lead one time this week.

NYY RL +108 (1 unit) Again...I don't like run lines but Dana Eveland is horrible. Just what the Yankees need to keep the bats rolling. Pettitte has been solid, but I wouldn't count on him to totally shut down the A's. Taking the Yankees for the first 5 would be a good option as well if you don't have to lay too much juice.

Col +104 (1 unit) Totally embarrased by the Dodgers this weekend, the change of scenery should do them well. Facing a pitcher like Garland and not being in the hitter un-friendly Chavez Ravine should help them as well.

Good luck Cappers!

27 comments
comment Post A Comment
shapati says:
04/20/09 10:04AM
good luck today.
verobeach says:
04/20/09 10:14AM
mmac66 says:
04/20/09 10:29AM
With you on Florida, San Diego and the Rockies. The Nats bullpen is enough to make anyone

 

Good luck today. I hope we hit some of these.

IlliniBill says:
04/20/09 10:41AM
Wow, you're on all 3 of my plays, and my 1st RL of the year, scary.

 

Best of Luck to us today!!

D-Town says:
04/20/09 10:41AM
wilterdink says:
04/20/09 11:11AM


I see it as profitable, not scary. Maybe I'll bump my investments in each?
IlliniBill says:
04/20/09 11:25AM
Ha!!! Not scary as in nervous we may lose, but scary you may be on the same wave length as a wack job like me.

 

Gonna be a good day my friend!!

DOVJAK says:
04/20/09 11:26AM
bol 
LuckyGuy says:
04/20/09 11:43AM
LaDaddy says:
04/20/09 11:46AM
........gl today
wilterdink says:
04/20/09 01:03PM
Thx everyone. Not a good start, although Sarfate just came in, so there's a good chance the run total will grow quickly.
IlliniBill says:
04/20/09 02:03PM
Congrats on the Over!!!

 

I see 8-0 in your future!!!!

wilterdink says:
04/20/09 02:08PM
Bos RL -105 (1 unit)   +1.0
Bal/Bos over 10.5 +105 (2 units)    +2.1
FL -107 (2 units)
fl/pit over 9.5 -110 (1 unit)
SD +144 (1 unit)

Was +140 (2 units)


NYY RL +108 (1 unit)
Col +104 (1 unit)

wilterdink says:
04/20/09 02:09PM


Once again...the return jinx. I love it!
IlliniBill says:
04/20/09 02:10PM

  You know it.

weeble5672 says:
04/20/09 03:43PM
BOL wilter
KasperNV says:
04/20/09 04:17PM
Fish, Rockies, and Padres

 

Nats, how many runs do these guys need to close out a game? I like the Braves and the over.

pixelchild says:
04/20/09 04:33PM
wilter... i am with you on the NATS and i have the over too. i feel the nats will need a big lead to hold the game... hopefully a combined 8.5+
wilterdink says:
04/20/09 04:33PM
Thx weeble

GL 2 u Kasper   A lot of people made good money thanks to the Nats pen. I had the nats against Volstad, but that's it. Mainly played the overs in that series. I got lucky in a few of them.

Helps that the Braves have Chipper back for now. Without him and McCann, they have no offense unless Francour hits a solo shot. Escobar is dinged up as well.....their 3rd best offensive player.
wilterdink says:
04/20/09 04:34PM
pixel...how did you do this weekend? I know last week you had a stretch of some bad beats. Hopefully you've recouped your losses and are playing with house money again!
pixelchild says:
04/20/09 04:37PM
wilter i got hammered. hah.

you know what it's bad?

my friends are asking me what my picks are so they can bet opposite.

tonight i placed big on nats + over.
pixelchild says:
04/20/09 04:39PM
and to be honest, i want to take my bet back but i can't undo my bet with bodog.
wilterdink says:
04/20/09 04:42PM
Hopefully it hits for you! Will serve your 'friends' right for fading you just before your hot streak
MONEY_MAKER_702 says:
04/21/09 12:23AM
Good Job today your one of the few that had a winning day today though you got sucked in with FLA today as well. Nice pick on Nat'ls
wilterdink says:
04/21/09 10:26AM
Bos RL -105 (1 unit)   +1.0
Bal/Bos over 10.5 +105 (2 units)    +2.1
FL -107 (2 units)    -2.0
fl/pit over 9.5 -110 (1 unit) -1.1
SD +144 (1 unit)  PPD

Was +140 (2 units)
 

+2.8
NYY RL +108 (1 unit) PPD
Col +104 (1 unit)   -1.0

Monday results: 3-3 (+1.80)
Season: 62-49 (+25.69)

wilterdink says:
04/21/09 10:28AM


Thx MM  Yes, Pitt was the value play but hard to get off the money train of the Fish no matter how many numbers stacked against them.
SHO says:
04/21/09 10:35AM
Add your response:
Please note that the blogger has the option of reviewing all comments before they are displayed to the public. Your comment may not be published immediately.
 

Profile

User: wilterdink
Joined: December 2008
Location: Wisconsin
Team: Green Bay Packers
Occupation:

Recent Posts

Archive

Categories

Advertisement