wilterdink's Blog

Picks guaranteed not to go winless! =)

By wilterdink | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, April 21, 2009 03:16 PM   20 comments
Season: 62-49 +25.69 units
  Sides: 44-27  +30.94 units
  Totals: 18-22  -5.25 units

Mil/Phi under 10  even (1 unit)
  Both teams had a day off, the weather will be crappy and the Brewers typically don't hit Moyer well. Not enough? How about the left handed Parra's great stuff neutralizing the big bats of Utley, Howard and Ibanez?

Pittsburgh +129 (1 unit)
  Planned on taking the Fish again, but this is good value at home. Karstens stinks, but the Pirates dominated yesterday, and despite the record, the Fish really haven't played well this year. A few late rallys against Washington makes their record a bit inflated.

Cincinnati +200 (1 unit)
  Too good of odds to pass up. Harden does not go deep into ball games and the Reds have an offense that can put up a lot of runs. Owing's isn't a good pitcher, but every once in a while he comes up with a gem.

Mets +102 (2 units)
  Not a fan of Oliver Perez and his walks however the Mets have one of the best bullpens and the Cards have one of the worst. I'll take the better bullpen and the better overall team over the better starting pitcher.

LA/Hou under 9.5 -105
  Houston has had trouble scoring and Kershaw won't help them get out of the slump. I typically fade Ortiz by taking overs, but he won't give up more than 6 which should keep it under.

Colorado +108 (2 units) 
  100% fade on Petit. Once a promising young arm, he has not been able to get outs at this level. Morales threw a solid game in his first start of the season.

San Diego -120 (2 units)
  Don't like playing favorites, but once again, I'm taking advantage of the good line for Peavy. Tail him now before the -150's and -180's come. The Giants had trouble scoring against Arizona, so what makes you think they can score off of Peavy? I like Cain a lot, but he gives up too many base runners to stick with Peavy.

Yankees RL -105
  Fading Eveland. Had to wait a day to play this, but the line hasn't changed and neither has my opinion.

Kansas City +170 (2 units)
  Ponson  isn't very good, but neither is Laffey. Both teams have good offenses, but I'll take the +170 in this coin flip game.

KC/Cle under 10  -110 
  This line seems too low and Vegas is begging people to take the over. I'm not falling for it.

Minnesota +150 (1 unit)
  Baker is coming off of injury, but now in his 2nd start, I expect better things out of him. He definitely has the ability to win this game making the +150 a good value play.

Detroit +104 (1 unit)
  Ride the hot arm of Gallaraga. The Angels miss Vlad and I have to believe that they still have some depression in the clubhouse after losing Nick Adenhart.

Det/LLA under 8.5 even (2 units)
  Two solid starters. Both offenses can score 9 by themselves, but neither has consistently scored a lot of runs this year.


Good luck Cappers!

20 comments
comment Post A Comment
smac38 says:
04/21/09 03:18PM
gl

 

lot of plays

IlliniBill says:
04/21/09 03:19PM
WOWWWWWWWWWWW!!!!!!!!!

 

 Well at least you're on the same side as most of my games. Alot of value today with some big dogs, but I just couldn't pull the trigger for some reason. BOL buddy.

doubleparring1 says:
04/21/09 03:20PM
I see winners  GL
IlliniBill says:
04/21/09 03:23PM

a 13-0 day for sure, in my opinion!!!!

weeble5672 says:
04/21/09 03:24PM
BOL wilter
Coverdatspred says:
04/21/09 03:26PM
damn wilt....I guess its safe to say you liked the card today huh?  I like lots of those plays!  GL tonight bro hope it swings in your favor tonight, could be a big night.


wilterdink says:
04/21/09 03:33PM
Thx fellas.

Yes Bill...plenty of big dogs and I was tempted to just put 3 units on the Reds, Rangers, A's and Orioles since all are at or near 2:1. If they go 2-2, then I double my money..1-3 is only a 3 unit loss. I decided against it and only play the dogs I feel have a 45% chance of winning.
verobeach says:
04/21/09 04:45PM
I like your thoughts. . .
mmac66 says:
04/21/09 05:28PM
KC, Colorado and Minnesota

 

Looks good. That's a might big card today!

wilterdink says:
04/21/09 05:43PM


GL2U MMac. My theory is you can't have an unthinkable 15-0 day if you only play 3 games.    Seriously...I'm obviously an action better. Throw a bunch of dogs at the wall and enough will stick to give you a profit each day.
tone79 says:
04/21/09 05:45PM
Mil/Phi under 10  even (1 unit)
 

Both teams had a day off, the weather will be crappy and the Brewers

typically don't hit Moyer well. Not enough? How about the left handed

Parra's great stuff neutralizing the big bats of Utley, Howard and

Ibanez?

Fyi, it's beautiful in philly and close to 70 right now

mikec says:
04/21/09 05:46PM
lol nice guarantee
wilterdink says:
04/21/09 05:49PM
thx for the update tone!
tone79 says:
04/21/09 05:50PM
no problem, gl
wilterdink says:
04/22/09 09:48AM
Mil/Phi under 10  even (1 unit)    -1.0
Pittsburgh +129 (1 unit)   +1.29
Cincinnati +200 (1 unit)  -1.0
Mets +102 (2 units)   -1.0
LA/Hou under 9.5 -105    -1.05
Colorado +108 (2 units)    +2.16
San Diego -120 (2 units)    -2.40
Yankees RL -105    +1.0
Kansas City +170 (2 units)   -2.0
KC/Cle under 10  -110     -1.10
Minnesota +150 (1 unit) PPD
Detroit +104 (1 unit)   -1.0
Det/LLA under 8.5 even (2 units)    +2.0

Tuesday: 4-8  (-4.1)  wasn't winless as predicted, but by far my worst day of the young season 

Season:
  66-57 (+21.59)  
--phillyfan-- says:
04/22/09 11:09AM
tough day wilter ,  shake it off bro , gluck 2day..
NGU says:
04/22/09 11:10AM
weeble5672 says:
04/22/09 11:36AM
BOL wilter
weeble5672 says:
04/22/09 11:36AM


Oops. This is yesterday's thread
DustinDixon says:
04/22/09 11:40AM
Also had my worst day of the young season yesterday as well. Well, better luck today!
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User: wilterdink
Joined: December 2008
Location: Wisconsin
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