Last week was a bad week, but my confidence is still high. Only 2 winning days in the last 8, but we're still playing with house money. It would be nice if we could all make 40 units a month, but a small winning month is better than a losing month.
Season: 78-77 (+8.34 units)
St Louis +122 (1 unit) This team is hot winning 7 of their last 10. The Braves have the starting pitching edge, but they are having trouble scoring runs. The Cards win this one with offense.
Houston +102 (2 units) Probably going to be a popular pick in Covers due to Oswalt's stellar career record vs the Reds. Last time I took Cincy in the upset because of the money value. But since Oswalt is getting money this time, it's a no brainer play.
Hou/Cin over 8.5 even (1 unit) My one total play for the day. Last year, these teams scored a lot of runs in the cueto vs oswalt match-ups. The first meeting this year was a pitchers duel, which has given great value to the over.
Florida +132 (1 unit) Marlins have been struggling, but they are 6-3 on the road this young season. I'm continuing to fade John Maine and his wildness.
Cubs +140 (2 units) Cubs are the much better team and always have a good following in Arizona. As long as they get a few runs early off Haren and make the D-back bullpen come into play by the 7th, they have a great chance of winning.
San Diego +108 (1 unit) Chris Young is back to being one of the league's top 8 starting pitchers. Jason Hammel is making his first NL start. Great value considering you have a winning team with the much better starter getting money against a losing team (2-4 at home as well) with an unproven starter.
Seattle +185 (1 unit) Value bet. Seattle is 7-3 on the road. Danks has been lights out, but the Sox offense is inconsistent. I find it hard to believe a .500 team is laying this kind of juice against an under appreciated 12-7 team.
Best of luck cappers! I plan on turning things around starting today before I become a capper that everyone loves to fade. I guess if I help people make money, that's what counts?