wilterdink's Blog

Back From Vegas and Back to picking

By wilterdink | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, May 09, 2009 01:45 PM   2 comments
I'm back from my Vegas vacation and ready to build up my covers win totals again.

Season to date: 88-85  +12.38 units
   Sides: 64-53 +22.68
   Totals: 24-32  -10.3

Atlanta +101  (1 unit)
  Fading Joe Blanton. Hasn't been a good fade this year, but Atlanta has it's second best starter on the hill, so I like this combination.

San Francisco +131 (2 units)
  Sanchez is hit or miss but has the stuff to throw a shutout any night. The Dodgers are now a left handed dominant lineup with She-man out of the lineup. The Dodgers could still be in shock over the news as they looked pathetic last night.

Cubs +138 (1 unit)
  Cubs dominated the Crew in Miller Park last year. I know they're without Lee and Ramirez, but I still like their swagger against my home town team. Dempster can be effective against the Brewers right hand dominant lineup.

San Diego (1 unit) even
   Brian Moehler fade. One of the worst starters in baseball IMO. Even the pathetic Padre lineup should be able to score 6 against him. Especially in a hitter friendly park.

SD/Hou over 9.5  -105  (2 units)
   Moehler stinks and Correia is unlikely to toss a shutout. First one to 8 will win this game.

Wash/Az under 9.5 even (2 units)
  Washington has been hitting the cover off the ball and Arizona can't hit a beach ball. Davis is a pitcher who will frustrate you with his deliberate nibbling and slow pace of the game. Lannan has been pitching well and the D-Back offense makes any pitcher look good.

Detroit +119  (1 unit)
   Jackson's been on a run where every other outing is a good outing. His last outing was terrible, so the pattern says he will shut down the Tribe. Carmona gives up a lot of base runners, so Detroit will have plenty of opportunities to give Jackson some run support.

Tor/Oak over 9 +110  (1 unit)
   Tallet coming off his no-hit bid was stretched farther last start than ever before. Primarily a reliever in his career, he's been put in the starting role and has done well other than one terrible outing. I like to fade pitchers coming off dominant performances, especially starters who aren't in the elite group of starters. Since Oakland doesn't give great value at -108, I'm going with the over. Combine the Tallet fade with Toronto's good offense against unproven Sean Gallagher.

Good luck everyone!
2 comments
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wilterdink says:
05/10/09 03:32AM
Atlanta +101  (1 unit)    +1.01
San Francisco +131 (2 units)    -2.0
Cubs +138 (1 unit)    -1.0
San Diego (1 unit) even    -1.0
SD/Hou over 9.5  -105  (2 units)    -2.10
Wash/Az under 9.5 even (2 units)     +2.0
Detroit +119  (1 unit)    +1.19
Tor/Oak over 9 +110  (1 unit)  +1.10

Daily total: 4-4  (-0.8 units)
Monthly Total: 4-4  (-0.8 units)
Season Total:  92-89 (+11.58)
DOVJAK says:
05/10/09 05:21AM
  BOL TODAY
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User: wilterdink
Joined: December 2008
Location: Wisconsin
Team: Green Bay Packers
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