Posted Thursday, April 02, 2009 03:54 PM
I will be leaving tomorrow for Detroit, so I'm posting my final four write-ups now. I don't condone gambling, so use this information however you wish. These are simply my opinions to give you the perspective of one person who follows college basketball closely.
Michigan St vs UConn -4 o/u 133.5
For an inter-conference match-up, there is some good comparable data
to go off of since UConn has played 3 of the other Big “10? tournament
teams. They won all 3 with the following scores:
Wisconsin 72-60
Michigan 69-61
Purdue 72-60
See a pattern? Looks like Michigan St is in in for a 71-60 loss.
This is only part of the reason why we like UConn. Yes, Michigan St
should have a slight home court advantage and yes, I’ve been dogging
them all tournament and they keep covering. Why will this time be
different?
UConn should be able to defense MSU’s perimeter with Austrie, Price
and Walker. They all have the quickness to stay with Lucas, Walton and
Lucious. I do worry about the Thabeet/Souton match-up. Souton has been
on a roll from the outside making the pick and pop play a weapon that
UConn may not have an answer for. I am figuring the mere presence of
Thabeet will rush Souton’s shots reducing his effectiveness.
The rebounding war inside will be fun to watch as both teams are
physical and have dominated their opponents on the boards this year. I
don’t think either team w... [More]