wish me luck. i thought this game warranted a return......

michigan st +2
I LOVE THIS GAME. i know i don't usually take the higher ranked road teams in these match-ups but i think this game warrants it. the books don't appear to care about leuer's injury any more because wisky has played well without him....or they have appeared to. the fact is, in the 5 games without leuer they haven't played anyone who could exploit the gaping hole inside on both ends. wisky is 3-2 without leuer. their 3 wins were against NW, michigan, and sorry penn st (OT). their losses are to ohio st and purdue are excusable on the surface but none of these teams are huge rebounding teams. their rebounding margins are as follows: purdue +0.8, ohio st +2.2, michigan -1.9, penn st +5 (explains OT vs an awful team), and michigan -1.9. wisconsin's rebounding margin is +2.6 on the year but in the 5 games without leuer it is -5 against subpar rebounding teams. what's going to happen when they play michigan st and their +9.8 margin (2nd in nation)? without leuer, wisky has one player that's over 6-6 in their rotation and he hit like 8 3's last game (not exactly a bruiser). 3 of their starters are 6-2, 6-1, and 6-0. lucas offsets hughes in the backcourt. combine all this with michigan st's amazing efficiency (50% FG's) and their 4-0 record on the road in conference and not even bo ryan can get wisconsin out of this mess. the schedule set up this play perfectly for us by hiding how much they miss leuer.

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