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Friday's Free Pick comes from Covers Expert Will Rogers
Pick: Seattle
Start: May 17, 2013 - 7:05 PM
Capper's Page: https://experts.covers.com/Handicapper/Will_Rogers
Offered at: 5 Dimes @ -152 Cleveland
Analysis:
The Seattle Mariners are in Cleveland on Friday, coming off a three game series in New York that saw them take two of three from the Yankees. They might be in for a rough ride in Game 1 versus the Indians though, with 22 year old rookie Brandon Maurer on the mound. The M's offense will have to contend with a red hot Cleveland hurler in Ubaldo Jimenez.
Here are my keys to the game:
1: Pitching: Jimenez has been fantastic in three straight starts, only allowing three runs, and winning all three games. It might be worth noting that he was roughed up only twice this year, and both of those starts were in afternoon games. He might not be fooling hitters in the light of day, but he's doing just fine under the lights.
Maurer (2-5, 5.97 ERA) is coming off consecutive losses. He allowed three runs on six hits over just five innings in his last start, losing 4-3 to Oakland. He allowed a pair of home runs in that game, and it was the third time this season he's given up multiple home runs. That's a recipe for disaster against a Cleveland team that ranks first in the majors in slugging percentage, and fifth in runs scored.
2: Hitting - Not only do the Indians have a favorable matchup on the mound, but this game features one of baseball's best offensive teams versus one of the worst. The Mariners rank near the bottom of the AL in batting average.
3: X-Factor - Jason Kipnis was 3-for-4 yesterday, and all three of those hits were for extra bases.
Selection: The play is on the Cleveland Indians (Free)
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