If you don’t use our picks we can’t save you any money.
We don’t invest in the pre-season. However, until the start of the regular NFL season, our blog article offers extremely helpful links, advice and tips, football jokes and humorous anecdotes, much more.
Our blog address is http://www.kinzuakid.blogspot.com
When in the blog, click the picture of the old guy standing next to the topless wooden bowsprit that’s in the dining room of the Las Vegas Margaritaville.
You can also get to the blog article by typing into GOOGLE the blog name “Gardyloo” followed by NFL Picks.”
Type into the GOOGLE search box the following:
GARDYLOO NFL PICKS
Last NFL season my blog GARDYLOO, in its NFL Picks article, posted picks, tips, advice, football jokes, links to other helpful tipsters and touts, much more.
Unlike many other touts, we ask for no payment. Instead we ask only that you read some of our Science Fiction stories, or if not interested, turn friends and relatives into such on to our stories.
Sports Handicapping (wagering) is the theme of our most recent story. It takes about three minutes to read. It presents the story of a guy who successfully wages on sports using a most unusual method(Shades of the Twilight Zone).
Goto Aphelion Webzine (Google it), click the cover of the magazine, then click FLASH FICTION. Within that department, find the story “Flashback” by C.E. Gee.
If you’re curious about the “Suspicious Calls” made during football games, I suspect you’ll find very interesting the creative “theory” of such presented by another author in the above-mentioned department. The story is “Botball Bollix.” It also takes about three minutes to read.
It certainly opened my mind to an alternate theory of game changing calls.
In their flash fiction fiction department, Aphelion Webzine (Google it) has published my story on NFL handicapping, Flashback by C.E. Gee.
However, in the same department is a much more interesting story by some other writer. Said story presents an interesting theory about "bad" calls. Said theory absolves gambling interests!
The story is Botball Bollix. The story, interestingly enough, was written by some gal!
I must admit, I am intriqued by the theory.
It's a general agreement that the Pro Bowl is a dud -- going down the tubes.
Here's a solution. Take the worst teams in the NFC and the AFC Have them play a game.
Winner gets the number one pick in the draft.
The great majority of people investing in NFL games have no experience in operating a business. Therefore, many of these people don’t calculate overhead into the cost of making their investments.
Now I haven’t done the math in a few years, but if I remember correctly, it used to be that to break even in Las Vegas casinos when investing in NFL games you’d have to be at something like 54.3% correct with your picks.
This figure was before your overhead. Overhead might include travel expenses, food, lodging, playing slots or whatever during breaks, giving your significant other money to gamble, etc..
That’s why I proclaim that “IF YOU KEEP YOUR OVERHEAD LOW” you must be at or above 55% correct in your picks to make a profit.
Those of you who might be skeptical of the above statement, I advise to look into the PREVIOUS YEAR’S HISTORIES of the Westgate Supercontest. Most of the previous winners had winning percentages in the 52 to 57 percent ranges.
Before I throw some figures at you, those of us into handicapping NFL matchups know that there’s usually only a few games each week that are worth the investment.
I figure the above at averaging around five games a week.
You’ll note that the Westgate Supercontest caps their entries at five games each week.
So here comes the math to illustrate what it takes on any particular week to make a profit for that week. Remember, our goal is >>> 55% <<< if you’re just investing in one particular week, or indeed, the entire season.
Picks won ATS / Total picks made percentage made
Let’s say you’re investing over the entire season. Assuming 80 regular season games invested, to be as good as the winning handicappers in the WestGate Supercontest, you’d have to beat the spread in 44 games; maybe even a little more if you want to win the top spot.
Yore [sic] Pappy
http://www.kinzuakid.blogspot.com Then click the photo of the old guy (me) standing next to the topless mermaid bowsprit in the dining room of the Las Vegas Margarittaville.
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