This is probably not a popular choice but AUBURN is the early play.
REASON:
-coaching angle:
Tuberville is 9-3 ATS as a dog of 4 or more points of a win vrs. a team .800 or greater over the last 5 years stat. shows 5-0 last five times.
couple that with a weak Georgia D and a moneyburning 2-9 ATS against SEC teams playing for REVENGE and 2-7 as a road favorite of 8 or better.
That makes for the UPSET alert !!
Auburn should cover and has a legitimate shot at outright win.
New poster have been watching and reading for a while and appreciate all the great insight and opinions.With that said:
Follow a lot of Big East football UCONN season ticket holder.
Cincy in control of there season at this point.
QB Pike is the real deal and playing with a ton of confidence. Solid receiver corp and above average O line.
Cincy can get a BCS bid with this win and a Win over Pitt on Nov 22nd. They already beat WVIRG.
Against the spread over the last 3 years Cincy is:
14-5 when playing on 6 days rest
10-3 when playing against a team with a winning record
6-1 in weeks 10-13
Troublesome stat against Cincy is Louisville is 2-0 as an underdog at home over the last 3 yearsr and 5-2 as an underdog at home since 1992
Cincy has momentum and REVENGE from last years 28-24 beating as a 8 point favorite.
Cincy 31-20
Hope info is helpful.