When Cam Newton was drafted a few years ago, everyone thought he would be the next great NFL QB.
After his first start as rookie when he passed for over 400 yards, his legacy was assured. Or so it appeared.
3 years later, Cam is just another NFL QB, not even in the top half of QBs in terms of stats, leadership or results on the field.
Last year, Carolina had a lights out defense but they were consistently held back by Cam's erratic play at QB. Carolina was winning last year but usually in very low scoring games due to their defense.
Watched Cam last night against New Orleans and he was horrible. He can still run but that's about it. He still can't read a defense, misses open receivers regularly, and looks lost about half the time. He takes off and runs too soon much of the time and has no touch. He can throw bullets but hey, who can't in the NFL.
I have not yet moved Carolina to my "no play" list but I am close. The NFL teams on my no play list are Jets, Oakland and Tennessee. I will continue to consider Jacksonville because they will at least show up on defense and Bortles is coming around slowly.
As I said in a previous post, it is somewhat difficult to discern where the truly sharp money is on the LV/FSU game tonight.
It appears now that the truly sharp money bet Louisville in the +6.5 to +7 range early in the week. This was followed by steam chasing semi sharp money on LV all the way down to where it is currently is now. Public, being stupid, will have likely bet on FSU all the way down since the FSU consensus all week as been in the 70% range.
Do NOT be surprised to see truly sharp money begin hit FSU before kickoff if the line gets to -3, setting up a possible middle for the sharp money players ( LV at +6.5 and FSU at -3 for a nice middle spread).
I am passing the game as stated earlier but this will a fascinating game to watch from a market read perspective.
Normally, I would be all over Louisville in this game but I am very concerned about the "trendiness" of playing on LV on Thurs.
1. We are entering phase 3 of the season when favorites begin to reassert themselves and dogs become slightly less attractive. You really have to pick your spots to play the dogs from here on in as described in the previous post.
2. The world of the "semi sharps" will like Louisville tomorrow. Public will be on FSU, the semi sharps will be on LV, and I cannot tell for certain where the true sharps will be. This game screams "no play" to me, even though I really do like LV in this game.
3. Many on line "experts" and "touts" have had this game circled for weeks as a spot to finally see FSU get upset. Seems way way too obvious to me to play LV.
I am passing this one. Much better games await later this week.
A decent day in the NFL on Sunday going 5 wins and 3 losses
Winners were posted on blog as always and were Carolina, Cincy, Arizona, Pittsburgh, and New Orleans
Losers were St Louis, Jacksonville, Tennessee
NFL Record for year posted on the blog is 30 wins and 23 losses = WP 57%