Plays went 1 - 1 for +7.5% last event I played, took Saturday's event off.
Plays YTD: +69.75%
Last Event: 8 - 4
YTD: 179 - 106
2012: 111 - 56
Main Event | Heavyweight | 265 lbs (120.2 kg)
Free movement (footwork, head movement etc) - Big Advantage to Hunt here, against the slower, more plodding Silva it will be imperative that hunt use angles and solid footwork to move in and out of boxing range with Silva, who will hold a 8 inch reach advantage. Advantage Hunt.
Wrestling - The last and only time I've seen Silva wrestle was his pummeling of Fedor Emelianenko, while Hunt has shown average take-down defense for a heavy weight, however if Silva is able to clinch Hunt up against the fence I think he will have an easier time finishing than Hunt will have defending. Slight edge to Bigfoot.
Striking - If it was not for Hunt's granite chin this might be even or a slight edge to Bigfoot as he hits as hard as they come for a heavyweight. However Hunt's a bit more technical with his strikes, has good low kicks, decent power himself and the chin to keep him up to negate some of Bigfoot's power. Edge to Hunt.
- Huge advantage for Bigfoot here, Silva is light years ahead of Hunt in terms of pure BJJ. Advantage Silva.
Cardio - For being as large as he is and for considering the power he puts behind his punches I'd save Bigfoot is quite a bit above average cardio for a heavy weight while I feel like Hunt would fall under the average by a bit. Edge to Silva.
Athleticism - Both men are probably below average, Silva mostly because he is massive and Hunt because he is old. Even.
Prediction - If Silva uses his size and strength advantage to bully Hunt into the cage and drag his feet out from under him he has a good chance to submit hunt or TKO him with ground and pound. Hunt is not that hard to take-down but I have a feeling Bigfoot will struggle a bit standing, try to wrestle and fail and get knocked out towards the end of the first round. Might be picking with my heart a bit more than my head here, so beware. Hunt via KO end of round 1.
Georges St. Pierre
Main Event | Title Fight | Welterweight | 170 lbs (77.1 kg)
What a card. I'm going to try and give you guys the best breakdown of this fight as I can, here we go.
I'll start with a basic break down of where I feel each fighter has an advantage.
Free movement (footwork, head movement etc) - Edge to Georges here. Since the Serra fighter he has made an effort to master angles, in and out movement and level changes, and he may be one of the best in the sport at all three.
Wrestling - Even, we all know Hendricks is the more decorated wrestler while GSP is much more accomplished with his MMA wrestling. It's close but I'll call it even, if anyone is getting the take-down I have to think it's GSP unless it's some crazy scramble.
Striking - Edge to GSP with a slight nod and almost even due to Hendricks silly power, the reason I'm giving the edge to GSP here is while I acknowledge Hendrik's power, he is either A) planting his feet in phone booth range and letting his hooks go, OR B) Lunging in with his power hook as we saw countless times against Condit,I feel GSP will be a bit to fast and see the aforementioned angles above, the power shot is there, landing it on GSP is easier said than done.
Grappling - In a pure BJJ match I feel like GSP would win easily on points so I'll give the edge to GSP here, his top game is just too good, again...one of the best in the sport.
Athleticism - Even, Hendricks is an athlete of the highest level, I feel like he can match GSP everywhere save for speed with his power making up the difference here to keep it equal.
I don't think Hendricks is getting the knockout here, therefore I don't see him winning the fight, in fact I don't see him landing any of his power shots, I think he will resort to lunging again as he did with the Condit, the difference, he won't be able to rag doll GSP to the ground as he did with Condit.
Prediction - Hendricks makes it interesting with his silly power and defensive wrestling but in the end GSP uses speed, angles, movment and precise level changes to take at least 3 rounds. GSP via decision.
Main Event | Light Heavyweight | 205 lbs (93.0 kg)
I'll update my record tomorrow at work, I have a little time tonight so I'll toss my picks up, keep in mind there are about 6 or 7 fights that have a fighter I've never seen fight, I'll still predict though.
There is a thread where I put my thoughts on Belfort vs Henderson around the top.
Prediction - Belfort via TKO round 4.
Last Event: 11 - 2
YTD: 159 - 92
2012: 111 - 56
Plays went 0 - 1 for -1.5%
Plays YTD: +67.75%
I'll predict the whole card but there are a few UK fighters on here i've never seen fight so keep that in mind.
Main Event | Middleweight | 185 lbs (83.9 kg)
Munoz is a little bit to slow and predictable for Machida, I am not too worried about the cut, look for a Machida counter to drop Munoz in the 3rd round and then finish with strikes as Munoz desperately attempts a single leg take-down.
Prediction - Machida via TKO end of round 3.
Plays went 2 - 2 last for +3.75%
Plays YTD: +68.75%
YTD: 148 - 90
2012: 111 - 56
Apologies for my lack of write ups, just going to get my picks down, super short on time this week.
Junior Dos Santos
Main Event | Title Fight | Heavyweight | 265 lbs (120.2 kg)
I could probably copy and paste my write up from the last time they fought if I could find it, I think it goes down similiar, except I think this time JDS lands a bit more which in turn while make Cain shoot and work his ground and pound.
Prediction - Cain via UD.