went through my numbers for this season and looked to see how the point totals >=49 have finished.
Week 1: Dallas @ Cleveland 49 Finished 38
Week 3: Dallas @ Green Bay 51 Finished 43
Week 5: Indy @ Houston 49 Finished 58
Week 6: Jags @ Denver 49 Finished 41
Week 6: Dallas @ Arizona 53 Finished 54
Week 9: Arizona @ Rams 50 Finished 47
Week 10: Miami @ Denver 50 Finished 43
So only 2 - 7 this year have gone over when the line was set at 49+. If you remember the Indy game, Indy scored 2 TD's+ in the last 3 or 4 minutes in that game. If Houston had been able to hold onto the ball that game also wouldn't have hit that total. The other game cleared it by 1 point. That game also needed a punt block for a td in OT to win this over. Had they been able to just kick the field goal the game stays under.
Be careful on the large total this week.
Thoughts? BOL