14-16 overall
Short and sweet has not been winning it for me, but here it goes...
I am a believer in the "bounce back game" for all ranked teams that have last the previous game. I think that explains a lot of my plays for this Saturday.
Penn St. (-7.5) over Illinois
ARK (-5) over Tex A&M
FL (-6) over LSU
GL
12-12 Overall - I now know the cold chill of being at .500 for pick'ems
Big plate today for picks! Short and sweet because I'm busy but also lazy.
NYJ (-6) over BUFF - BUFF's awakening from offensive obscurity is now over. NYJ's DEF should shut down the Havard grad with it's better personnel and run down the BUFF's DEF throat since they give up 141yds/game.
ATL (-6.5) over SF - SF is a terrible offensive team now with no OC and no direction. Expect a very generic offense from a SF team going across the country to play a team that is similar to the 1 that crushed them in SF last year. The UNDER 42.5 maybe a good play too since I don't see the either OFF doing way too much vs. good DEFs.
Cincy (-3) over CLEVE - CLEVE is terrible and has terrible coaches making terrible decisions. Is a <100% Delhomme really that much better than a healthy Wallace? Either way Carson Palmer and the Cincy OFF will correct their lackluster offensive ways vs. a team that gave up a huge day to a struggling Joe Flacco last week.
OAK/HOU UNDER 43 - Yes, HOU DEF gives up a lot of yards in the air but OAK OFF doesn't throw that much and primarily is a running team. Yes, HOU OFF does have a high powered passing attack but with Namdi stopping Andre Johnson, the OAK DEF only has to worry about Arian Foster blowing up.
CHI (+3) over NYG - Too many injuries on the NYG DEF to stop a pretty consistent and, dare I say, high powered CHI OFF that has been moving the ball well through any type of defensive look. NYG OFF has looked awful with so many TO's that it's hard to say that a CHI DEF that thrives on TO's won't get any today. CHI ST has a history of running back TDs vs the NYG ST starting with Hester who seemed to have his return game back from last week.
5 Games on the plate and possibly 6 if you add on the ATL/SF UNDER 42.5. GOOD LUCK!
12-10 overall
Short and sweet this time around.
Northwestern (-5.5) over MINN
Maryland (-8.5) over Duke
Big wins today guys good luck!
ONLY 1 PLAY FOR THIS SUNDAY AND IT IS A HUGE WINNER!
SF (-3) over KC - SF's defense has the front line to get pressure on Cassel without the blitz, an LB crew that is great vs the run and the pass, and a secondary that is fast enough to stop the big play if the KC running game does get past the 1st 2 lines of the defense. The KC running game is the only thing that the Chiefs have going for them. Cassel has been inconsistent and shaky in the pocket. They would have lost to Cleveland if it wasn't for a Seneca Wallace blunder that went from an INT to a TD in 5 seconds and special teams play that gave them a TD vs. SD. Also, the KC front line will be missing their starting guard and DT Jackson will be missing the game as well. Forget that SF lost a heartbreaker at home. Forget that they have a short week this week. Forget that they are even on the road and playing at a time where the equivalent would be 10am if they were to play at home. SF will win this game if Alex Smith can not only get out of Frank Gore and the rest of the SF's team way, but also out of his own way. Seeing how MNF ended, he should be able to do that. Big money on SF!
GL to all
5-2 in NCAAF games
10-5 overall
2-1 last week
IOWA/BALL ST. UNDER 46 - Iowa's Def was completely embarrassed vs AZ letting AZ come out to an early big lead and letting AZ score late to win it. I honestly will be surprised if Ball St. scores more than 9 points this game if any. I don't think Iowa's offense will score that much either since they will most likely keep it on the ground vs. a below average BSt. Def against the run. Ball St's only strength on offense is the run and that is Iowa's Def's biggest strength as well. I believe I will be going with the bigger school on who's strength will win this 1.
Air Force (-13.5) over Wyoming - Run, run, run. That's all the AF Off is. Too bad Wyoming can't do anything about it since they play it terribly. This is a bad spot for a team that already gives up 211yds per game vs. the run. The only weakness the AF Def has is vs. the run as well, but luckily for them, Wyoming can't do that well either. Even in their lone win, Wyoming rushed 24 times and only came up with 36yds. Big win here for AF, especially coming from that OKLA game they could've, and should've, won.
South Carolina (+3) over Auburn - SC has had an impressive resume so far and has stopped some pretty good offenses. With the run game being the key for both teams, it looks like SC wins both offensively and defensively. Even with the home field advantage, I can see SC winning not on the spread but the game itself.
NIU/MINN OVER 49.5 - Both teams are pretty good with their strengths offensively (NIU with the ground game and MINN offensively overall), but both are straight up terrible on defense. I expect this game to be high scoring, especially if MINN can put up 21pts vs. a USC Def. NIU's rushing attack has put up pretty good #'s on schools in major conferences (156yds vs. Iowa St.; 163yds vs U of IL).
Southern MISS (-3.5) over La Tech - Southern Miss is on a roll and La Tech doesn't have the firepower to stop them. Sure La Tech did run better vs. a Navy team poor against the run, but their money is still in the passing game which is what the So. Miss Def is great against. The La Tech Def just isn't good enough overall to stop the Off of So. Miss.
5 games people! And I'm thinking about adding more! Stay posted!