Louisiana State and Alabama couldn’t settle the ultimate debate when the Tigers took a slim 9-6 overtime victory against the Crimson Tide back in Week 10. Thankfully, the powers that be have pitted these SEC rivals against each other again – this time for the national championship.

I have been the nation’s #1 handicapper if you need further proof check out Trackpicks.com who document our picks or Sportscapping.com a site I’m on with some of the nation’s best handicappers. We are currently on a 12-4 ATS run in college football and NCAAF 116 - 69 (62.7%) + $17,350.00 - L185 picks.

It’s a rematch of the match up that ended in a 9-6 overtime victory for LSU over the Tide back in Week 10. Unlike many I am happy to see this rematch because it’s not even close, these are the two best football teams in the nation. The first time around I was a winner on LSU +5 and you can read my write up right here. You can pick up tonight’s 5.5* MAX NCAAF POD guaranteed or 3 days FREE!

The X-Factor
Obviously it comes down to special teams and LSU has the edge with Tyrann Mathieu, but was he a huge factor in the first match up? No he was not that is because Alabama is very sound in special teams and they just don’t let kickoff and punt returns be the reason they lose. Still LSU has a punter that if you remember boomed a 73 yard punt from his goal line which was a key play in the match up back in November.
For Alabama the X-factor are the tight ends. Brad Smelley and Michael Williams have to be the reason Alabama wins this game because the secondary of LSU is very very good. Not only are they keys to the passing game but they are extremely important in the running game.

Update From Vegas Sportsbooks:
There is a lot of noise on twitter and some other sources saying there is a lot of money pouring in on Alabama from professional bettors in order to manipulate the line so they can come back after and bet it at +3. As of right now the line that opened up with LSU as -1.5 point favorites has moved to -2.5 in favor of Alabama at most shops. It just goes to show you that line movement does not always mean what you think it does. In most cases Vegas tries to get action on both sides and an ideal world they’d like even money on both sides. They know as much as we do at the end of the day there is no crystal ball and betting on sports is not easy by any means. Any team can win and tonight is one of those games that clearly show that. However, I’m confident in my selection tonight and I have been well over 60% of the year coming up with big win after big win. I look to continue my undefeated ways in the National Championship moving to 4-0 ATS with a win tonight. DON’T MISS OUT!

Happy Holidays Bettors! - Promo Packages

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NBA starts this weekend you want to miss out on these packages above or you can also take advantage of early bird NBA packages + college basketball and your season ending ncaaf picks packages and NFL too! Just check out some of our handicappers recent and long term trends for different sports.

NBA Trends:
NBA 160 - 128 (55.6%) + $18,135.00 - L288 picks - Payne Sports
NBA 52 - 37 (58.4%) + $6,760.00 - L89 picks - Freddy Wills

NCAAF Trends:
NCAAF 107 - 58 (64.8%) + $17,380.00 - L165 picks - Freddy Wills
NCAAF 42 - 19 (68.9%) + $9,755.00 - L61 picks - Payne Sports

NFL Trends:
NFL 188 - 139 (57.5%) + $20,295.00 - L327 picks - Payne Sports
NFL 80-51-4 ATS (61%) on NFL Play of the Days - Freddy Wills

NCAAB Trends:
NCAAB 225 - 178 (55.8%) + $19,296.00 - L403 picks - Payne Sports
NCAAB 123 - 103 (54.4%) + $10,950.00 - L226 picks - Freddy Wills

Don't miss other sports picks as we guarantee all of our picks including MNF football picks and monday night predictions and we offer free picks on NFL against the spread action and more. Don't forget MLB season is not offer and there is a lot of value to be head on mlb sports picks now through the end of the season.

NCAAF 260 - 196 (57%) + $21,875.00 - L456 picks
NCAAF 89 - 46 (65.9%) + $14,470.00 - L135 picks
NCAAB 121 - 97 (55.5%) + $11,400.00 - L218 picks
NFL 9 - 4 (69.2%) + $1,830.00 - L13 picks 

Thanksgiving Day 4 Game Preview

Thanksgiving Day has some great games we give you the early odds and a brief preview of each of the three NFL games and the classic Thanksgiving Day match up between Texas and Texas A&M. We continue to be #1 in the nation in ncaaf picks. Last week was highlighted by our outright prediction of Iowa State +2250 on Friday night followed by our max play of the week winner on Rutgers +3, and LA Tech +252 as well. Don’t miss out on all the action this Thanksgiving weekend and don’t miss out on our promotional packages either.

Packers vs. Lions (12pm et) – Line GB -6 O/U 55.5 Get 100% Sportsbook Bonus
The Lions have played on Thanksgiving every year since 1934. The last time they had a winning record was in 2000 so you better bet there is a lot of anticipation leading up to this game especially since they go up against the immortal Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay Packers. The Lions went off as 6 point under dogs vs. the Patriots last year too and held a 17-10 lead at half time before Brady and Bellicheck did what they always do. They made half time adjustments and came back and defeated the Lions 45-24. Get more sports picks

In fact the Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Thanksgiving Day games, while the Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings, but this one has the potential to be a shootout and which ever team can limit the mistakes will likely win and cover. This game is not just about Aaron Rodgers and his 128.8 QB rating. Mathew Stafford is putting up pro bowl numbers too with a 93.4 QB rating 2,843 yards, 25 TD, 10 interceptions. Detroit beat the Packers at home 7-3 in December last year while they lost in Green Bay 28-26.

Dolphins vs. Cowboys (4:15PM ET) – Line DAL -7, O/U 44
Like the Lions the Cowboys have been a staple of playing on Thanksgiving as they have been in action since 1966. A few weeks ago this match up looked like a snoozer, but the Dolphins have won 3 straight ATS and SU and now we have a solid match up with the way the Cowboys have been playing as well. Miami has had a lot of success running the ball and playing great defense will that continue on Thanksgiving? Don’t forget Matt Moore who is playing well with 63.35% completion rating and 7 TD to 4 interceptions with an 88.8 rating. Tony Romo continues to dominate with his 99.4 QB rating.

Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thanksgiving Day games. It’s been a blueprint for success if you liked to parlay games. Just parlay against the Lions and with the Cowboys and you are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 years with huge profits. We believe that trend will end this year with at least one of those results going the other way.

49ers vs. Ravens (8:20PM ET) – Line BAL -3.5, O/U 38.5
Brother vs. Brother as the Harbough’s steal the primetime action away from the college football match up below. 49ers surprisingly have the leagues 2nd best record at 9-1 and are 9-0-1 ATS this season while the Ravens are 5-4-1 ATS and 7-3 overall. 65% of the public have opened laying action on the 49ers and can you blame them many are 10-0 when backing the 49ers this year. If you looked at this match up in the pre season many would have yawned, but it’s a great one led by two dominant defenses. Patrick Willis vs. Ray Lewis, who wins? The QB’s may have more say and…

Alex Smith seems to have the better numbers right now with a 93.9 QB rating completing 62.41% of his passes for 13 TD and just 4 interceptions while Joe Flacco has more yards he’s completing just 55.41 % of his passes with 12 TD to 8 interceptions and a 77.6 QB rating.

Texas +8 at Texas A&M (8pm et) Line - Texas +7.5, O/U 54
This game is not as exciting as it used to be both teams have just 6 wins and are mediocre at best. We will most likely have a premium pick when we run our formulas on this match up and research allt he facts, but for now this is a lot of points even to a one dimensional Texas team that lost their one dimensional running game with injuries to their start QB’s. Their defense is still of top 25 caliber and that could easily be the difference in a game like this.

A&M comes off a blowout 61-7 win over Kansas, so this line maybe is not exaggerated after all especially since Texas lost at home as 8 point favorites to Kansas State on Saturday. The win saw them take a 44-0 lead into half time in which they sacked Kansas 6 times. They definitely seemed to get their swagger back. This will be Texas A&M’s last game while Texas still travels to play Baylor in early December. They’ll be playing for a 7th win and bragging rights and maybe a slightly better bowl game. Either way I think they are well prepared for Thursday and head coach, Mike Sherman has them motivated. “I told the kids before the game, ‘It doesn’t look like we’ll win a championship, but that doesn’t mean you can’t play like champions,’” coach Mike Sherman said. “Show people what you’re made of.”

Who Remains Undefeated?

LSU (Western Kentucky, Mississippi, Arkansas)
Stanford (Oregon, California, Notre Dame)
Boise State (TCU, SDST, Wyoming, New Mexico)
Oklahoma State (Texas Tech, Iowa State, Oklahoma)
Houston (SMU, Tulsa)

Well we get a huge match up this weekend between Stanford and Oregon (+3.5 /68 ) Get 100% bonus. It should be every bit as entertaining if not more as last week’s #1 vs. #2 match up. Stanford’s Andrew Luck vs. Oregon’s speedy offense and if Stanford can get out of this game they should finish the season undefeated and it may set them up vs. LSU in the National Championship game. Check out my 4.4* NCAAF Prime Time play with a bonus in this elite match up. We were victorious last week with LSU +4.5.

Pressure on undefeated teams:
Just like the NFL these teams start to be circled on their opponent’s schedule. An upset of an undefeated team at this stage of the season is like Super Bowl win for most teams especially those who have had disappointing seasons after high expectations. The fact is that since 1980, undefeated college football teams playing on the road from this point of the season on out are 90-31-1 straight up, but are 49-63-2 ATS. Hence, fade the remaining five undefeated teams and you should win on average 56.25% ATS. More importantly you have a 1 in 3 shot at getting a team to lose outright which is more intriguing to me moving forward as I have hit huge under dogs this season – Just check out this week’s big under dog play in the early afternoon on Saturday!

More States:
Face that undefeated team up against an opponent off an ATS win in their previous game and they are just 43-20-1 straight up, but just 24-38-2 ATS which is a 61.3% ATS advantage. If any of these 5 teams are facing a team off an ATS win you should back them rather than the undefeated team. Face them off against an opponent that actually has a winning record and they are 46-27 straight up, but 28-43-1 ATS. Oklahoma State faces that task this week.