Teams in NFL Wild Card round contests playing off a straight up season ending loss as a favorite tend to bounce back up off the carpet, going 21-11-1 ATS - including 10-3 ATS at home.

This year finds the Texans and Packers return home looking to right themselves from road favorite losses last weekend.

Division Downers

Wild card road teams have a difficult time after dueling a division opponent in their season ending finale, going 20-40-1 ATS – including 0-4 ATS last year.

Send these highwaymen out as ‘dogs of more than 3 points and the task worsens as they are 4-30 SU and 9-25 ATS.

Not a good sign for the Bengals, Colts and Vikings this week.

ATS Diabetes

Like kids in a candy store, NFL Wild Card teams playing off huge regular season wins tend to crash-and-burn in these playoff openers."

M Lawrence

Another thing, the reason this has so few plays is also because of the 30 and 12-point limitations. Just from browsing through the years 1985-1988, if the points scored parameter was reduced to 28 instead of 30, you would add a few more wins that I saw. It wouldn't be a perfect system anymore probably, but you would produce more plays and still probably at a high win rate."

Number Freak