Posted Saturday, January 23, 2010 08:32 PM
Last week went 1-2 (-1.5 Units), season
total 40-41-4 (+4.5 Units)
Man, what’s up with kickers this year. Seems like more so this year, where games are
lost due to the inaccuracies of the kickers.
Feel bad for the Chargers loss last game.
1) INDY
(-7.5) *1.5 Units – It’s been a great run for the Jets, but I think
this Sunday is when their luck runs out.
D.Revis will probably shut down R.Wayne, because he is that good. But P.Manning’s got other weapons and to top
it all off, they have M.Stover, the Ex-Raven kicker who is automatic within 44
yards, so Jets would not be so lucky this week with their opponents missing
FG’s.
2) MINN (+3.5)
*1 Unit – If the Vikings can successfully pound
the ball with A.P., and not fall behind early, they will win. NOS’s run D is soft and they usually get
teams to abandon the run game by scoring quick and early. When D.Brees have time to throw, he is
unstoppable. But with the Vikings D-Line
applying good pressure like they did to Romo last week, D.Brees will be thrown
off his rhythm. Just like how the
Cowboys did, when they beat the Saints in Week 15.
Ivan
Last week
went 1-2 (-1 Unit), season total 39-39-4 (+6 Units)
1) bal
(+6.5) *1.5 Units – Similar to last week’s game, the last time the
Ravens and Colts met, the Ravens should have won that game if not for a bad
interception in the Red Zone by the Ravens, losing that game by 2 pts. Although the Colts’ starters will be well
rested, they might show some rust from not playing in a Full Meaningful
football game in over 3 weeks. Ravens
are going into this game with momentum.
I’ll take the points.
2) MINN
(-2.5) *1 Unit – This game is going to be won
on the ground. The team that has a
better day rushing will win this game.
Dallas has 3 talented backs and a D-Line that’s been playing well. But in the end I am going to have to give the
slight edge to the Vikings. They got the
2 Williams on Defense that stuffs the run and they got AP, he’s fallen off a
bit this year, but he is still dangerous.
As for QB, I’ll go with the more experienced Favre.
3) ari
(+7) *1 Unit – The Saints stumbled into the playoffs and they just
didn’t look right compared to the hot team that started the season. Both teams statistically have defenses that
are average at best, but I am going to give the edge to the Cardinals to step
it up in the playoffs because of the big name players. Playoffs are where the big names step
up. As I compare the both rosters, I
like what I see more on the Cardinals side.
I am going to say the same about the coaches too; K.Whisenhunt’s been
there and done that. I’ll take the
points here also.
That’s it
for now, and depending how far the PS is going to continue to drop for the
Jets, I might make a play on the Chargers if it dips below 7pts, which I doubt
will happen. But we’ll see.
Ivan
Last week went 1-0-1 (+1 Unit), season
total 38-37-4 (+7 Units)
Finally some meaningful football games
again!
Pick for Wildcard Weekend:
1)
bal (+3) *1.5 Units – The Patriots losing Welker is huge! Brady turns to him in tough situations all
the time, without him, Brady just lost his go to guy. Also when these 2 teams met back in Week 4,
if it wasn’t for a couple of bad calls, dropped passes and an interception in
the Red-Zone, the Ravens could have very well beat the Patriots that day. This is a very winnable game for the
Ravens. I’ll take the points!
2)
gb (Pick Em) *1.5 Unit – Reports
suggest the chances of Boldin playing is doubtful. That’s an important piece of the Cardinals
offense taken out and now GB defense can focus solely on Fitzgerald. GB’s defense have been playing exceptionally
well lately and Arizona’s secondary can be beaten through the air.
3)
CINN (-2.5) *1 Unit – Last week’s
matchup between these two teams was very one sided. But I am not banking on the Jets to repeat
that performance. I feel that
emotionally this week, there will be a letdown.
They went all out last week to survive and I think this week they are
going to feel the hangover of it. I like
Cincy in this one for a number of reasons.
They’re playing at home, they are going to have a well rested Benson
back, they just had a whole week of preparation to review how the Jets
manhandled them, revenge for last week is fresh in the players mind and I’ll
take an experienced QB over an inconsistent rookie QB playing on the road in a
playoff game any day!
Ivan
Last week went 1-1 (0 Unit), season total 37-37-3
(+6 Units)
Loving all the Bowl games, just started
betting those this year and its been fun =).
Other than the few meaningful AFC games which have playoff implications,
I know I’ll be paying more attention to the Bowl games instead this weekend.
Pick for Week 16:
1)
sf (-7) *1 Unit – Too much pride in Singletary and his team to lay down and not
come out playing hard for the last game of the season. STL on the other hand can lock up this
upcoming draft’s number 1 draft pick if they lose.
2)
tenn (-4) *1 Unit – both teams are
out of the playoffs, but don’t be fooled.
Tenn still has something to play for.
C. Johnson needs another 128 yards rushing to crack 2,000 and another 75
yards to break the record for most yards from line of scrimmage. The whole Titans’ offense will be pumped to
get it for him.
Happy New
Year!!
Ivan
Last week went 1-2 (-1 Unit), season total
36-36-3 (+6 Units)
First off, I got to apologize for the
horrible Teaser Parlay last week…hahah, lost 4 out of the 5 games on that
ticket. That’s why I hate betting the
last couple of weeks before playoffs, line makers are sharp and how the teams
are going to be coming to play is unpredictable with the playoff picture
becoming more and more clear. It is also
unfortunate that I haven’t had the chance to share my 2nd half bets
this season. I’ve actually been doing
quite well on that the whole year, but because of the short 15 minute window at
halftime and most of the time I am putting bets through my phone (my phone web
browser doesn’t allow me to access my mailing list on yahoo, don’t know why),
it is usually too late to send it out after I put my bet in. I plan to take my plays to a free blogging
website soon; so hopefully posting it there during halftime would be more
beneficial to you guys.
Pick for Week 16:
1)
hou @ MIA (-2.5) *1 Unit – hou Defense is going to struggle trying to stop Dolphins rushing
attack. C.Henne has proven he belongs in
this league ever since he was given the starter position this year. M.Schaubb will be pressured the whole game
from the Dolphins who are 2nd in the league in sacks. He will not have the luxury of having his
sweet time to find his receivers. (Bought 0.5 pts off the MIA spread, hou has
lost 2 games this season by exactly 3 pts.
By sacrificing a little bit, I rather have a win then a push if it does
come down to a game winning FG by the dolphins.)
2)
PHIL (-1), SF (-7) *1 Unit – Usually
don’t like playing parlays, but really like these 2 games, but uncomfortable
with the spread given. So combining it
again as a teaser parlay minus 6 pts of the original spread. Hopefully better luck with the teaser parlay
this week.
Happy
Boxing Day Everyone!!
Ivan