how to select a favorite team
is a 4 game chase that the favored team chosen will cover the -1.5 run
line in 4 games in which they are favored from -105 to -140.
games do not have to be consecutive. For example the Reds may fall in
the favored system one day which would be your A bet, but may not fall
in it again until another couple of days which would then be your B bet.
are getting plus money on your bets 99% of the time so even if you lose
A,B,C,D bets on one team, you still may win money for the day because
of other teams that you are betting on may cover.
For A bets = 1.5% of bankroll
For B bets = 3% of bankroll
For C bets = 4.5% of bankroll
For D bets = 6% of bankroll
How to select the favorite team
A. Finding the selection for the favorites is simple. Find the games where the favored teams line’s are between -105 to -140
Exceptions of the Favorite Team:
A. Do not make the bet if the current team you’ve selected has covered -1.5 run line during the current series.
Do not take the -1.5 run line when a struggling team, such as, the
Houston Astros of 2010 comes to a D bet, (I’ll explain how to bet in a
moment). But for now just make a mental note of this.
Example of + money favorite system: On
5-14-2010 The San Francisco Giants were -1.5 at +155. Since the Yankees
lost you would wait until the next time the Yankees fit in the category
of -105 to -140 to bet a b bet.
This week's baseball system pertains to underdogs in the final game of a series. As we've mentioned before with several other systems, we try to find underdogs off a win for two reasons. The first, is that the team has a bit of confidence after a victory and the second is that many people believe the favorite will bounce back, which helps give us better odds.
What we're looking for in this system is an underdog that won the previous game as an underdog, while allowing six hits or less, and the game being played is the final game in the series.
The six-hit rule means the the favored team isn't swinging a hot bat and teams do tend to run in streaks.
The results for this system are as follows:
2008: 59-65 +$995
2009: 69-74 +$1,225
2010: 66-72 +$1573
2011: 6-5 +$203
It's odd that the system actually showed a decent year in 2009, which is when favorites covered at higher than normal rate, and it has been pretty consistent over the years. Not bad for such an easy method.
I went and backtracked this it seems to come in over 50% every year.
take teams at home that are same division below 500 pct and bet them when there dogs.
last year came in at 54 % and previous year came in at 60%
Example in 2009 when baltimore played tor at home and they were listed as a dog they won all 3 times as a dog.
bet on home teams in the american league 500 pct and above
after a 1 run loss bet on next 2 home teams for a win doesn't have to be in same series. it doesn't count if teams are going on the road.
2009 results A bets 19 B bets 5 losses 0
2008 results A bets 16 B bets 9 losses 1
2007 results A bets 11 B bets 6 losses 0
2006 results A bets 16 B bets 7 losses 2
2010 results so far A bets 3 B bets 1 losses 1
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