2-4-2 YTD
Very slow start for the season, should be 4-4 but games keep getting postponed
Todays Plays
Gavin Floyd, RHP
(2-2,
5.79)
White Sox: The right-hander suffered his second bout of wildness
in two trips to the mound, walking five over 4 1/3 innings during
Friday's 14-0 loss to the Blue Jays. Floyd, who walked seven in five
innings during a victory at Detroit on April 13, gave up five earned
runs on nine hits, while also striking out five. He worked in numerous
heavy counts, throwing just 56 of his 94 pitches for strikes, and has
issued 14 walks in 23 1/3 innings this season. Floyd had a 1-1 record
with a 7.45 ERA against the Mariners last year and is 1-2 with an 8.10
ERA lifetime against Seattle.
Play: Mariners TT O 4.5 (-115)
Fausto Carmona, RHP
(1-3,
7.36)
Indians: In his last start, against the Twins, Carmona went
six-plus innings, giving up five runs -- four earned -- on eight hits
and two walks, striking out seven. Heading into the series finale with
the Red Sox, Carmona faces a team that has given him all kinds of
problems. In all, Carmona is 1-4 in four starts against Boston,
including two blown saves that went for losses from his days in the
bullpen in the 2006 season. In his last start of 2008, Carmona gave up
four runs on five hits and a walk in an inning of work, taking the loss
against the Red Sox.
Play: Red Sox TT O 5 (-115)
Kevin Correia, RHP
(0-1,
4.50)
Padres: Correia is still looking for his first victory as a
Padre after losing a 3-1 lead in the sixth inning of a no-decision
against the Pirates in his last start on Friday. Correia's pitches had
some significant movement against the Pirates, which was good in that
he allowed just three hits in five innings -- but was also bad since he
hit a batter and walked four. In three starts this season, Correia has
walked 10 batters in 16 innings. The Padres like his stuff but would
like him to limit the walks and pitch better from the stretch with
runners on base.
Play: Rockies TT O 5.5 (-105)
Scott Olsen, LHP
(0-3,
7.29)
Nationals: On Friday against the Mets, Olsen pitched well enough
for his second consecutive quality start, but he ended up losing his
third game of the season because of some shoddy defense. Olsen lasted
six innings and gave up three runs, two of which were earned. [Has given up 13 runs in the past 8 innings.]
Play: Phillies TT O 5.5 (-125)
Wednesday Team Totals Card
Mariners 4.5 (-115)
RedSox 5 (-115)
Rockies 5.5 (-105)
Phillies 5.5 (-125)
BOL Everyone
2-3-1 YTD
Couldn't do any plays for Saturday cause got the whole time, came back a lil late today from the lady's so I'll only be doing the late afternoon/night picks.
Today's Plays:
Edinson Volquez, RHP
(1-1,
9.64)
Reds: Volquez was expected to spend his time between starts
working on his command and tightening up his mechanics after he's
struggled through his first outings. The right-hander allowed six runs
and seven hits, including two home runs, with four walks and four
strikeouts in Monday's 7-6 win over the Brewers. He threw 99 pitches in
the short amount of time and was up to 55 through two innings. Opposing
hitters are waiting out Volquez to throw strikes, which is running up
his pitch counts. His fastball velocity is sound but the command hasn't
been there and that has prevented him from being able to effectively
use his changeup. In two starts vs. the Astros last season, Volquez was
2-0 with a 1.32 ERA.
Play: Astros TT O4 -120
Vicente Padilla, RHP
(1-1,
10.00)
Rangers: Padilla allowed seven runs on 11 hits and a walk in 3
1/3 innings on Monday in a 10-9 loss to the Orioles. Right now,
left-handed hitters are killing him with 12 hits in 27 at-bats (.444)
off him. Right-handed hitters are just 3-for-16 (.188) against him. He
is now 16-14 with a 4.63 ERA in 41 starts at Rangers Ballpark in
Arlington. He is 2-1 with a 4.79 ERA in four career starts against the
Royals. Coco Crisp is 6-for-12 off him in his career.
Play: Royals TT O5 -105
Todd Wellemeyer, RHP
(1-1,
4.50)
Cardinals: Wellemeyer has simplified his delivery in between
starts and it has paid dividends. In his most recent start, he went
seven innings against the Diamondbacks on Monday, allowing seven hits,
and one earned run. He struck out four and didn't walk a batter. In
Wellemeyer's first start of the season, he gave up 12 hits and five
runs in a loss to Pittsburgh.
Play: Cubs TT O 4-5
Sunday's Card
Astros TT O4 -120 :: Bet 1.2u to win 1u
Royals TT O5 -105 :: Bet 1.05u to win 1u
Cubs TT O4-5 (can't find the line) :: Flat bet to win 1u
BOL Everyone
0-0 YTD
I dont really like calling my plays a system, but I base my picks on the run lines if they are within EV to +150 & pitching stats. I dont play the unders just because I dont trust bullpens so all my plays are on overs. All plays are 1unit each right now unless I feel like it's really a 2+unit play. I dont have the lines at night because bookmaker doesn't release them until the day of but here are the leans:
John Lannan, LHP
(0-2,
10.00)
RL -1.5 +120
Nationals: In his last start, Lannan pitched six innings and
gave up four runs on nine hits against the Braves. He was given a 3-0
lead by the middle of the third inning against right-hander Kenshin
Kawakami. But Lannan would give up the lead by the bottom of the fourth
inning, no thanks to the left-handed-hitting Kelly Johnson and Jordan
Schafer. To the surprise of manager Manny Acta, Lannan threw almost
nothing but fastballs to Johnson and Schafer, and they ended up going a
combined 5-for-7 against him. Acta wanted to see Lannan throw more
breaking balls to those two hitters.
Play: Florida TT O 4.5-6
P.J. Walters, RHP
(0-0,
-.--)
RL -1.5 (guessing EV - +110)
Cardinals: Walters impressed the Major League staff in Spring
Training, leapfrogging to the top of the sixth-starter chart. He throws
strikes and keeps the ball on the ground, two traits that endear any
young pitcher to manager Tony La Russa and pitching coach Dave Duncan.
Still, Walters struggled somewhat last year in his first exposure to
Triple-A, and it will be intriguing to see how he handles big league
hitters in his first shot.
Play: Cubs TT O 3.5-5
Dave Bush, RHP
(0-0,
6.14)
RL -1.5 +150
Brewers: Bush settled for no decision in his first start of the
season on Saturday, when he surrendered three earned runs on six hits
in 6 1/3 effective innings against the Cubs. Bush walked two and struck
out five, and might have been out of trouble with only two runs on his
record if not for a close call at first base by umpire Angel Hernandez
that went against Milwaukee. Bush has traditionally struggled away from
home; he was 28-20 with a 3.82 ERA in home games and 15-26 with a 5.18
ERA away from home entering this season, a trend he will look to
reverse. He has pitched twice in New York, but both outings were
against the Yankees during Bush's Blue Jays days. He is 2-1 despite a
6.75 ERA in three career starts against the Mets.
Play: Mets TT O 4.5-5.5
Johnny Cueto, RHP
(0-1,
6.00)
RL -1.5 +150
Reds: Cueto pitched six innings and gave up four earned runs and
eight hits -- including five for extra bases -- with one walk and nine
strikeouts during a 10-2 loss to the Pirates on Saturday. The
23-year-old, who was pitching a day behind schedule because of a
rainout on Friday, did rally and retire his last seven in a row --
including four on strikeouts. In an issue typical from last season,
Cueto threw a lot of pitches early -- 107 total -- and ran into
three-ball counts to six of his 26 batters faced. Last season in four
starts vs. Houston, Cueto was 0-3 with a 7.84 ERA and 32 hits allowed
in 20 2/3 innings.
Play: Astros TT O 4.5-6
Jorge De La Rosa, LHP
(0-1,
9.64)
RL -1.5 +140
Rockies: De La Rosa mixed an effective fastball and changeup
during the first two-plus innings of his initial start, a home loss to
the Phillies on Saturday. But he couldn't put hitters away with his
changeup, started falling behind in the count with two outs, and wound
up giving up five runs and six hits in 4 2/3 innings. The Phillies also
forced him to throw 99 pitches in that time.
Play: Dodgers TT O 4.5-6
Jonathan Sanchez, LHP
(0-1,
9.64)
RL -1.5 +110
Giants: If Brandon Webb had rejoined Arizona's rotation in this
game, as had been advertised, Sanchez would have faced a Cy Young Award
winner for the second game in a row, but that will not be the case.
Sanchez fared poorly last Saturday against San Diego's Jake Peavy,
surrendering five runs and four hits while walking five in 4 2/3
innings. Sanchez struck out seven, but flamed out quickly after fanning
five of the first six batters he faced. The Diamondbacks have tormented
Sanchez, who's 1-5 against them lifetime.
Play: D-backs TT O 4.5-5.5
Team Total Over Card
Florida 4.5-6
Cubs 3.5-5
Mets 4.5-5.5
Astros 4.5-6
Dodgers 4.5-6
D-backs 4.5-5.5
Hope we have a great day, BOL to everyone