2**Arkansas State +2.5 -110 for Game at UL Monroe
Tuesday night College Football. You got to love it! My book opened this line at
2 and last night dropped to 1.5 and is now at 2.5. I am going to jump on this line early. It may get as high as 3 but then again in could drop to 1.
Anyway, let's get into this game. I wouldn't let the straight up record fool you. This Ark St team is pretty good. They were picked to win the Sun Belt but an early conf loss to a very good Troy team have all but dashed those chances out. Troy is in the driver's seat right now but it is a long season and anything could happen.
Take a look at who Ar State has loss to. Troy, Neb and a very good Iowa (who just beat Michigan) team. UL Monroe has had 2 pretty good teams they have lost too as well but when you look at who each of these two teams have played you would be fooling yourself to make a wager based on each teams overall record.
In the sunbelt ULM has the top ranked rushing offense and Ar St has the top ranked rushing defense. Ar State has only played 1 Conf game so the numbers aren't very accurate.
Tonight there is a 60% chance for rain. I like a strong defense to win when the weather is good and when it is bad I like a stronger defense team even more.
The home crowd will do all they can to encourage their home team in this nationally televised game and they plan on wearing all maroon and attempt a "maroon out" and in the beginning of the game they may have some effect on the game. But by the time the clock runs out the visiting team will win this game. Take the gift of 2.5 points and enjoy the cash.
This is a 2** Star Play
2** Boston College at Virginia Tech UNDER 45 -120 (buy the hook) for Game
2** Boston College +7 +100 for 1st Half at Virginia Tech
The odds makers don't think BC is even worthy to be on the same field as VT, that's why we get such a large line. After studying this matchup, I see a low scoring hard fought game. Will VT win? Probably but not by 2 scores. The full game is a safe play but I am on the 1st Half.
Louisiana Tech +7 -125 for 1st Half at Nevada
There is a good game in NCAAF tonight. I have said it before and I will say it again, I like this LA Tech team. LA Tech hung with Auburn in the 1st half 13-10 and just couldn't get the ball in the end zone in the second half after Auburn adjusted their defense. The Navy loss was a very close game (14-18) until Navy scored 2 unanswered TD's in the 4th Quarter.
Nevada finally got a win and their offense came alive in the second half of the UNLV game last week. I think that is the only reason the line is where it is right now. This LA Tech team should win this game, but I will only play them to cover the 1st half. Ever game they played in this year they were very tough in the 1st half. (I will confess to you it is very tempting for me not to lay a play on that ML +360)
Take the easy money with this 2** Star Play
Colorado Rockies Money Line +140 for 1st 5 Innings
The favorite in today’s game 2 of the Rockies vrs Phillies is Philadelphia . The reason is only because of Cole Hamels and what he did last year in the Playoffs. This is an opportunity for us to jump on some early money. Pitchers are not always consistent year after year. Look at last year's Cole Hamels. He went into the playoffs with an ERA of 3.09 ERA. He had 2 bad games that drove his ERA to over 3.00. Most months he averaged 2.70, 2.61, 2.88, 2.61 and 2.84. Only one month did he average 4.89. So he went into the playoffs last year on fire.
This year his monthly averages have been not quite as good, 7.27, 4.06, 3.31, 4.38, 4.91 and 3.32. While every pitcher has the ability to go out there and pitch lights out, I have to put my money on the Pitcher that has had a slightly better year and is on a much hotter pitching streak. Look at Cook this year. April not so good aver ERA 7.11, May 2.93, June 2.36, July 4.17, only 10 innings pitching in Aug 12.19. His return from shoulder soreness on Sept 25 was great going 5 scoreless innings and the only other start was on Oct 1st going 8 innings with 1 ER. He has shown us he is back to form and ready for the playoffs. If the Phillies win today, it likely won't be at the fault of Aaron Cook.
Take the Rockies as a Road Dog in the 1st 5 innings, not the full game.
This is a 2** Star Cannonball Play
A 2** Star play means that I am going to put at risk 2% of my Bank Roll on this game. There is more information on my Covers Space.
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (3-1) at Troy Trojans (2-2)
I have always thought that strong Defensive teams win ball games. Now you can have the best defense in the world and your offense will need to be pretty good too. But my point is, if a Defense is strong enough the other teams offense will struggle to score. I like Troy's Defense. The secondary has had trouble early on and who wouldn't when you have to replace every position in the secondary from last year's team. The D line of Troy is respected as the best in the Sun Belt. How about the O line, how will they do? Can you say Beefy? Troy's offensive line, a group that averages nearly 310 pounds per man will open up holes for the run game and allow time for Levi Brown to complete passes. Brown completes 64 percent of his passes and has 1,097 yards, 5 TDs, 4 INTs this season. Brown is a legit candidate for Sun Belt player of the year and is arguably the league's most accurate quarterback.
While the passing game is very important, it is the run game that has decided the winner over the past few meetings. It's simple, the team that had the most rushing yards has won the game. The Blue Raiders have a much improved and talented defensive end with Chris McCoy. He has been the difference maker in key wins against teams like North Texas. If MTS can control the run game, they have a shot.
Here is a side note to consider. MTS is averaging 11.75 points in the second half (including a 30 point 1st half lead in the N Texas game that ended in win at 37-21) and Troy is averaging 7.5 in the second half (however, its not really fair to include one of those games against Florida losing 56-6 though). My point is if the 2nd half point total is set around 24-28 points, I would strongly consider a second half under play. With that being said. The total for tonight's game was originally set at 53.5 and has moved to 55.5, "if" half of those points come in the 1st half then it will be wise to play the over in the 1st half and under in the second half or under for the full game. Those are just my thoughts on the game.
My play will be the 1st half spread and the home team, Troy Trojans -4. If there is going to be a let down by either team in the second half, I am not going to lose my wager on it. Troy is the stronger team and barring a few key turnovers that would kill the point spread, they will cover with ease.
BOL tonight