NJPorky's Playbook

comment 1-20 of 20 comments
masterling
masterling says:
9/29/2012 9:15 PM
Thank you Porkey for sharing your system with the brothers. I would like to stay on this ride. Keep doin what you doin. ALOHA!
orionshadow
orionshadow says:
9/28/2012 1:20 PM
Hey Bro, Just posting here to thank you again. Dont let the haters get you down.

Now heres to a great Football season!

usakangy
usakangy says:
11/28/2008 10:26 AM
Porky, hope you had a wonderful Thanksgiving. Sounds like you had fun at the borgata. I had a great time with family and friends for some turkey and football :-)
hookemdustin
hookemdustin says:
11/27/2008 2:08 PM
You postin for 1/2 time of the lions game?
softballmaniac
softballmaniac says:
11/27/2008 1:49 PM
Hey Porkey. I'm from union county and have spent some time at the Borgata lol. Would love to chat. Send me an email when you get some time. wserafin301@comcast.net
ECCappers
ECCappers says:
11/11/2008 2:23 PM
Hey Porky, been away from the threads, missed Sunday, but did you ever figure out a system for Basketball? just curious, let me know...keep up the good work man

ECC

HeaVin-Cent
HeaVin-Cent says:
10/27/2008 3:24 AM
Looks like we had a strong weekend to come back after last weeks sub-par. All the whiners are just that. They never make their own picks and bitch about yours. Good luck the rest of the week!!
usakangy
usakangy says:
10/26/2008 8:37 PM
NJPorky, gee, there are a bunch of whiners on here. But, a whiner you are not. You are a winner, so I added you and Irondawg to the top 8. LOL
turboboi
turboboi says:
10/23/2008 3:46 PM
men my booky only play 2h for single game only. thats suck.
turboboi
turboboi says:
10/21/2008 12:41 PM
big fat winner.

Arizona -2.5 for the game was up by 10 at the half and the public was strong on Buffalo. Halftime line was Arizona -1 or pick. If you had Buffalo, this looks like a gift right? I mean who wouldn't want Buffalo +10 in this game......the sportsbooks doubled down and sucked the public in hook line and sinker as Arizona was a runaway 2nd half winner.

If you really get a grasp on thses two scenarios you will greatly improve your bottom line in sports betting......Always ask yourself at the half......"Who do they want me NOT to bet" or if the public is very strong on the game are they "does it look like they are giving the public an EASY OUT"

These two scenarios show up in NCAA Football and Basketball as well as NBA and NFL

This article that i found from one of the dude on wagerline. just want to share.

Good Luck and happy halftime hunting

turboboi
turboboi says:
10/21/2008 12:38 PM
Do you really think, especially if the public has heavily bet the favorite, that the sportsbooks are just going to GIVE YOU AN OUT? No way that is a big fat trap and a -3 halftime in this situation is an AUTOMATIC play on the dog if you're going to play at all.

Always keep your eyes out for the "too good to be true" halftime line on the favorite.

Situation #2 - The favorite is covering the spread by nearly double or more and they are still the favorite at halftime. This little puppy got me a nice little halftime parlay last weekend and is one you should definately keep in your arseanal. I'll give you 3 examples from last Sunday's NFL.

Carolina up by 21 at half and the halftime comes out -3. Now if you bet Carolina at -9.5...why on earth would you take them at -24? Obviously the sportsbook people are DESPERATELY trying to lead you AWAY from Carolina.....if they don't want you to bet it.....it's probably a winnner and obviously Carolina was a 2nd half winner.

NY Giants up by 20+ at the half and open up a favorite. They are already covering by 2 touchdowns and they are still the favorite??? needless to say, you know that one turned out...a big fat w

turboboi
turboboi says:
10/21/2008 12:37 PM
Situation #1 - The Underdog is leading at the half and the Favorite gets a "cheap line"

Lets say that Team A is a 7 point favorite and is trailing by 10 at the half. For a team like this, the favorite, the line should be close to the original spread or higher if the powers that be creating halftimes believe that THE FAVORITE team is going to WIN

If the game were tied, as a bare minimum they would have to be at least -4 (just over half the original spread.) Most of the time, in our above scenario, you'll see a line of -7 to -10, or higher at the half but lets suppose you see -3. Think about the logic....you've bet a team at -7 and they are down by 10 at half so the friendly sportsbook feels so bad for you that you're losing your wager they want to give you .a chance to get your money back...right? I mean who wouldn't want to take a team that was -7 and bet them at +7.....that's basically what a -3 halftime would equate to. Do you really think, especia

turboboi
turboboi says:
10/21/2008 12:24 PM
thanks for adding me ur list halfy porky. nice work on the half dude. wat do u think about tonite games temple/ohio??
ECCappers
ECCappers says:
10/20/2008 8:56 PM
Hey porky I did research in the NFL with the 2H system and I found when to play the games original UNDERDOG in the 2H. So we can add this to the system...here's my post

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=100263268

usakangy
usakangy says:
10/20/2008 7:46 PM
Porky, dude, get yourself a yahoo account or something and email me usakangy@comcast.net. You gotta see this! Basically we are gonna play any team at 21-pt middle, any road or favorite at 15-pt middle and only road favorites at 10-pt middle. All of them are at 65% or higher.
usakangy
usakangy says:
10/18/2008 10:47 PM
Wow, twice I got cut off. Just wanted to know if you backtested the 10-point college system to the beginning of the year. I have put together a spreadsheet for the first 5 weeks so far, and it's not looking too hot on sides. Be happy to share what I got. I think we hit a good speel in weeks 6 thru 8, but wanted to discuss offline first.
B-Runo
B-Runo says:
10/18/2008 8:11 PM
whats up pork, lets make that paper, I am running out, in ct 2 states away, whats your email, will keep in mobile contact about the 2nd half plays
NJPorky
NJPorky says:
10/18/2008 4:29 PM
USAkangy posted back to you in your playbook
NYCTim
NYCTim says:
10/17/2008 7:16 PM
Thanks for adding me Porky. I was reading your formula, that is some good shit. Gonna try it this weekend
yamda
yamda says:
10/17/2008 10:46 AM
Hey Porky, can you forward me the 2nd half spreadsheet? yamda@yahoo.com.....Thanks man!!! TCU 2nd half was money last night!!!!