smacksmiter's Playbook

comment 1-13 of 13 comments
matt4000
matt4000 says:
12/29/2007 11:34 AM
I went 0-3 again on it last night.

What am I missing and what happened to you?

matt4000
matt4000 says:
12/27/2007 12:41 PM
Smack,

I went 1-4 using your system last night.

Am I doing something wrong?

JROCK1966
JROCK1966 says:
12/27/2007 8:19 AM
Got any picks for today Smack??
JROCK1966
JROCK1966 says:
12/26/2007 9:45 PM
No sh*t...where r u Smack? Looks like a 1-2 night at best.
matt4000
matt4000 says:
12/26/2007 6:19 PM
Smacksmiter,

Where are u?

We need your help and insight?

matt4000
matt4000 says:
12/26/2007 4:00 PM
JROCK, add me on your friends list, so that we can post on each other's space.

Also, thanks for the tips. I'm still a little shaky on what u said, so I would like to follow your advice and picks for a little while. So, post on my space whenever u want!!!

And yes, that was a nice play on the Lakers.

JROCK1966
JROCK1966 says:
12/26/2007 1:02 PM
PS - How did you all like my Lakers pick? Cheers!
JROCK1966
JROCK1966 says:
12/26/2007 1:01 PM
Hey Smack...hope you don't mind me posting in your space. There are a four NBA games and one NCAAF game tonight that fit my rules:

1. Utah -3 at home vs. Dallas. Consensus >60% on Dallas.

2. Memphis +2.5 at home vs. NO. Consensus >60% on NO.

3. NJ +5.5 at home vs. Detroit. Consensus >65% on Detroit.

4. Sacremento +7.5 vs. Boston. Consensus >70% on Boston.

5. Motor City Bowl is hard to call but I saw 12 "expert" picks on the over 71 tonight vs. 4 on the under 71. I'm leaning toward fading the over in this bowl game.

Your thoughts?

JROCK1966
JROCK1966 says:
12/25/2007 9:36 PM
Matt....I learned three things / rules this past weekend that I am basing my plays on:

1) Bet on home or neutral dogs when the consensus is on the road favorite.

2) Bet on the home favorite when the consensus is on the road dog.

3) Find some statistics to back your play on amateur sports.

Your play on Denver -9 violated rule #1....therefore it should have been a no play. The only play we had on last night's game and the consensus was fading the over. I saw a lot of picks on the over in last night's game but like an idiot tailed it instead of fading it. I'm still learning too.

matt4000
matt4000 says:
12/25/2007 6:56 PM
i need your help in teaching me how to do this? I tried picking Denver -9 because something like 78% was on San Diego. Once again i lost a TON of $$$.

write to me when u get a chance and teach me how to do this. wallaz@hotmail.com

Thanks

JROCK1966
JROCK1966 says:
12/24/2007 10:23 PM
Consensus is 65/35 in favor of the Suns => I have placed a bet on the Lakers for Xmas day. I also like the fact it is televised...gives the Kobe a national audience which is something I'm sure he loves. We'll see!
matt4000
matt4000 says:
12/24/2007 11:22 AM
i'm trying to figure out how to talk back and forth to u. I'm not sure, if u are getting my messages?

let me know, if u get this?

Matt

smacksmiter
smacksmiter says:
12/22/2007 3:26 PM
Listen, if you have taken the time to look here, please understand that my gambling philosophy of "Fade the Consensus" is not a joke or an attack on anyone at this site. There is nothing personal about it so I do not list the names of the cappers I fade. However, it is a fact that most cappers, the HUGE majority, lose money gambling but are in denial about it. Friend, you do not have to continue losing. Just check your pride and ego and fade the board consensus...you will not be sorry that you did.