BigWaveDave's Playbook

comment 1-2 of 2 comments
axpiota59
axpiota59 says:
1/18/2009 9:05 PM
how'd you make out with your nfl plays BWD? I played the home dog angle on the first game.

I capped the Cards to be 6 pt favs using my pre-season ratings along with my adjusted ratings as the season played itself out. Amazingly, PHI had a very good road-disadvantage of only -2 but ARZ also had a decent home advantage of +3.5. Momentum was definitely all PHI for about 9.5 points.

so my projected line was about +3.5 ARZ. The line was @ +3, I thought that was good value for a home team in a championship game.

I pretty much used the same method for the second game and found some value in BAL +6. We'll see how it plays out.

Being the playoffs, you cover/you win. I put a little on both dog's ML.

wjeremy97
wjeremy97 says:
6/09/2008 8:40 PM
how do you stand the smog in this town?