DDH420's Playbook

comment 1-25 of 201 comments
DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/31/2014 10:06 PM
The JEDS aren't very good on the road and ANA are beasts on home ice. And same deal in LA. The KANGS are strong on home ice and in great current form. And the WILD are just not very good outside of MINNY.

NHL:

(1)ANA reg -0.5 -130 to win 1 unit

(2)LAK reg -0.5 -105 to win 1 unit

(3)ANA (game,includes o.t & s.o) ML -220 to LAK (game,includes o.t & s.o) -175 = +130 risking 1 unit

(4)ANA reg -0.5 -130 to LAK reg -0.5 = +245 risking 1 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/31/2014 3:42 PM
MLB:

(1)TB ML -165 to LAA +1.5 -250 = +125 risking 1 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/31/2014 12:14 PM
MLB:

(1)DET ML -155 to PIT ML -165 = +165 risking 1 unit

(2)KC/DET U 7 -110 to win 1 unit

(3)ATL ML -110 to win 1 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/30/2014 8:38 AM
CBB:

(1)MSU (game) ML -260 to MICH (game) +8 -300 = -120 to win 1 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/30/2014 8:29 AM
Just the one play to start.

NHL:

(1)BOS (game,includes o.t & s.o,extra time loss a push) +1 -200 to CHI (game) +1.5 -310 to CHI/PIT (game) OVER 4.5 -320 = +160 risking 1 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/30/2014 12:57 AM
And maybe it's a good sign but nothing is leaping off the board from tomorrows card. My gut is saying just keeping backing BOS each and every time out until the lose B2B games. But PHI is a rival which always levels the playing field. And they're also hungry,in a playoff battle and also in decent form so hard to fade them too.

CAL@OTT and WASH@NASH are both 1000000% no touch games for me with 4 inconsistent and unpredictable teams. And TB@DET is also a coin flip and I'll just be hoping it's not a 3 pointer.

The RAGS are in EDM but I promised myself I will not under ANY circumstances bet EDM again this year. But I don't know if I can fade them with the RAGS at -150. they are strong on the road and also in good form. But that tag is getting up there.

And that leaves CHI@PIT which seems like the classic great for fans but hard to bet type game. Although CHI as dogs is appealing and even more with the crazy firepower on both sides the over looks pretty ripe.

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/30/2014 12:57 AM
It was a somewhat bitter sweet night since I did drop a few cents vig on the ice. But considering that TB went to o.t which I did think was a very legitimate concern. And STL lost which I really did not see coming. Things could have been far worse especially after I started my card 0-5 for -4.55 units.

But thankfully I went with my good ole 4-Pack of period plays on ANA in the 2nd and 3rd periods. And pulled in +1.6 on the 2nd and then even better the 3rd was good for +2.7 units. So even with the turrible start to the puck plays I "only" lost -0.25 units on the night which feels more like a winning pull. Kinda like the MICH push last night felt more like a loss after they had DD lead with 3 minutes left.

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/29/2014 11:55 PM
STL really put the gears to my initial card where I dropped -4.55 units. But that was a solid 2nd frame by ANA and got me back +1.6 units....and it was an inch from being +2.9 units had Lack not made a sweet buzzer beater save with 2 seconds left.

And I'm doing the same 4 pack for the 3rd. ANA is up two so "IF" it stays this way the empty net will be in play for double time,likely close to 2 full minutes or more. But if VAN makes it a 1 goal game the empty cager will still be live for a minute or so.

NHL:

(1)3rd period ANA -0.5 +150 risking 1 unit

(2)3rd period correct score ANA 2-0 (exactly) +1500 risking 0.1 unit

(3)3rd period correct score ANA 2-1 (exactly) +850 risking 0.1 unit

(4)3rd period correct score ANA/VAN draw 1-1 (exactly) +450 risking 0.2 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/29/2014 11:01 PM
I know ANA is already up 2-1 but to give a team this good 2:1 on the 2nd P -0.5 line is a bit much. They were up early and soon after 2-0 because they're flying out there and obviously got chewed out after losing to the leagues bidet the OILERS. And know they ned to be at their best when the playoffs start. So I think ANA could easily be up 4-2 (pays better than 3-1) headed to the 3rd.

NHL:

(1)2nd period ANA -0.5 +200 risking 1 unit

(2)2nd period correct score ANA 2-0 (exactly) +1200 risking 0.1 unit

(3)2nd period correct score ANA 2-1 (exactly) +1300 risking 0.1 unit

(4)2nd period correct score ANA/VAN draw 1-1 (exactly) +500 risking 0.2 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/29/2014 6:22 PM
NHL:

(1)TB reg -0.5 -140 to win a half unit

(2)TB (game) -1.5 +125 risking a half unit

(3)STL reg -0.5 -135 to win 1 unit

(4)TB (game,includes o.t & s.o) ML -235 to STL (game,includes o.t & s.o) ML -235 = +105 risking 1 unit

(5)TB (game,includes o.t & s.o) ML -235 to STL (game,includes o.t & s.o) ML -230 to ANA (game,includes o.t & s.o,extra time loss a push) +1 -210 = +200 risking 1 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/29/2014 5:44 PM
FLA is a great and well coached team and I don't make a habit of betting against Donovan's teams this time of year. But with how razor close these games are I have to take DD's here.

And I like LOUI's D but WISKY is Pesky as hell and I also love the dog angle with faves shitting the bed game after game.

CBB:

(1)DAYT (game) +10.5 -110 to win a half unit

(2)DAYT (game) ML +525 risking 0.25 units

(3)DAYT (game) +15 -225 to WISC (game) +8.5 -260 = +100 risking a half unit

(4)Double result ZONA/WISC FH tie to WISC (game) ML +3000 risking 0.05 units

(5)Double result WISC FH ML to WISC (game) ML +275 risking a half unit

(6)WISC (game) +3.5 -110 to win a 1 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/28/2014 11:21 PM
Just a couple smaller plays at half. For the most part I like what I'm seeing from both of my teams so..

CBB:

(1)LOUIV SH -3.5 +100 to MICH ST SH -2.5 +110 = +320 risking 0.25 units

(2)Will UK/LOUIV game go to o.t YES +775 risking 0.1 units

(3)Will VIRG/MICH ST game go to o.t YES +750 risking 0.1 units

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/28/2014 9:42 PM
CBB:

(1)MICH ST (game) -2 -110 to win 1 unit

(2)Double result VIRG/MICH ST FH tie to MICH ST (game) ML +2200 risking 0.05 units

(3)Double result MICH ST FH & MICH ST (game) ML +130 risking a half unit

(4)ARZ (game) -4.5 -100 to win 1 unit

(5)Double result IOWA/ZONA FH tie to ZONA (game) ML +2200 risking 0.05 units

(6)Double result ZONA FH ML to ZONA (game) ML +130 risking a half unit

(7)MICH ST (game) +6 -405 to ZONA (game) ML -210 = -120 to win 1 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/28/2014 7:07 PM
I had my first losing night on the ice last night. But after two +5 units days back to back I can handle the mini -0.5 card last night.

And earlier this week I dropped the hammer on ANA in CAL and I'm going right back to it tonight and pounding ANA to beat the OILERS who are playing far worse than the FLAMES.....actually CAL beat EDM 8-1. So if ANA can go into CAL and beat the FLAMERS they sure as hell can do it against the god awful OIL.

NHL:

(1)ANA (game) Draw No Bet ML -165 to win 3 units (RISKING 4.95 UNITS)

(2)ANA reg -0.5 -115 to win 5 units (RISKING 5.75 UNITS)

(3)ANA (game) -1.5 +160 risking 3 units

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/28/2014 7:02 PM
CBB:

(1)MICH (game) -2 -110 to win 1 unit

(2)Double result TEN/MICH FH tie to MICH GAME ML +2200 risking 0.05 unit

(3)UCONN (game) +1 -110 to win 1 unit

(4)Double result UCONN/ISU FH tie to UCONN GAME ML+2500 risking 0.05 units

(5)Double result UCONN FH ML to UCONN GAME ML +175 risking 0.25 units

(6)MICH (game) +6 -400 to UCONN (game) +9 -475 to LOUV (game) ML -200 to MICH ST (game) +6 -405 = +185 risking a half unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/28/2014 7:01 PM
I like the Wolverines in the first game of the night. TENN cruised through the first couple rounds but sometimes that sounds better than it is because they haven't truly been battle tested this tourney.

And yes they worked Mercer who had just beat DUKE. But I think they're getting a lil more love than they deserve. They were a good matchup for DUKE and they had a bunch of seniors. But also were in a MASSIVE letdown spot after that win that was huge nationwide news. So TENN's lopsided win may not be as impressive as it looks at first glance.

And I have read how crazy hot TENN is winning 8 of 9. But MICH's currect form is even better winning 9 of their last 10.

Also TENN is a pretty young team and with MICH going to the final game last year so I give them the edge in experience as well as just being a better overall team.

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/27/2014 11:33 PM
ZONA lost the FH ML to kill my mixed sport parlay but I still love them to win this game. And ultimately I'm glad that buzzer beater was taken off the board cuz it gives a lil extra line value on the SH.

CBB:

(1)ZONA SH -6.5 -120 to win 1 unit

(2)UCLA (GAME,down 30-26 at the half) ML +360 to ZONA (down 32-28 at the half) to win the game by 6 or more points = +1140 risking 0.25 units

DDH420
DDH420 says:
3/27/2014 10:13 PM
MIXED SPORT PARLAY:

(1)Double result ARZ-WCATS FH ML & GAME ML -180 to SJ-SHARKS reg -0.5 -145 = +165 risking 1 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
10/03/2013 12:30 AM
Lost about -2.5 units on the ce so back to even for the year. Bit it's now 2-0,2-0 and 2-0 again on the bases for a 6-0 start to th MLB postseason and 22-8 on my L30 MLB plays overall.

Also just locked in WASH-CAPS ML -210 to BUF-BILLS +10.5 -320 = -105 to win 1 unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
10/02/2013 11:44 PM
NHL:

(1)ANA 3rd period -0.5 +150 risking 0.34 units

DDH420
DDH420 says:
10/02/2013 10:32 PM
Adding two plays. ANA looked pretty good and Varly bailed out the AV's twice with monster saves.

NHL:

(1)ANA draw not bet (tie after regulation is a push) ML +250 risking 0.2 units

(2)ANA (game) +1.5 -160 to win 0.25 units

(3)Race to 3 goals ANA +300 risking 0.1 units

Wanted to play that on the LEAFS after the 1st at the same price but pussied out and of course it won. Now to really learn my lesson I'll probably lose this one too. But I don't believe COLLY has enough to pull away,and actually still lose this gam3.

DDH420
DDH420 says:
10/02/2013 7:04 PM
MLB PLAYOFFS YTD: 4-0 for +1.763 UNITS...20-8 for +4.565 UNITS L28 MLB plays overall.

MLB:

(1)TB -0.5 first 4.5 innings -110 to win 0.25 units

(2)TB (game) ML -115 to win a half unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
10/02/2013 6:56 PM
NHL YTD: 6-1-1 for +2.28 unit

NHL:

(1)TO 1st period ML -105 to win 0.25 units

(2)TO (game) ML +110 risking 0.25 units

(3)TO +1.5 -270 to TO/PHI OVER 5 -320 = -125 to win 0.25 units

(4)BUF (game) ML +175 risking 0.25 units

(5)BUF/DET (game) OVER 5.5 +110 risking 0.25 units

(6)BUF +2 -320 to BUF/DET OVER 4.5 -260 = -120 to win 0.25 units

(7)ANA/COL (game) OVER 5.5 -115 to win a half unit

(8)ANA +1.5 -290 to ANA/COL OVER 5 -240 = -110 to win 0.25 units

(9)Grand Salami OVER 17.5 -110 to win a half unit

DDH420
DDH420 says:
10/02/2013 6:43 PM
In the night-cap game I'm backing playing the over again. COL had a bad season last year marred with injures and an inability to puck the puck in the back of the net. This year however they are starting the season healthy and with a new bench boss of Patrick Roy who has said several times that he perfers offense to defense....weird to hear from one of the best goalies to ever lace them up. But if thats the way he wants to go he has some good players to roll out there. Including to young studs in Duschene and Landeskog.

I'm not sure I'm liking them to win the game though as ANA should field a very solid team this season. And it all starts up front with their captain Ryan Getzlaf. He can be one of the most dominating players on the ice. Especially when he's motivated like crunch time in a game or in the playoffs. And he also had a great season the last time the Olympics rolled around and with them now only months away I think he has a monster year.

DDH420
DDH420 says:
10/02/2013 6:35 PM
I also think this game gets it's share of goals. We saw 7,10 and 9 last night and I wouldn't be shocked to see tonights 3 games approach that 26 goal total as well.

We have some new rules. We have goalies with significantly smaller pads (2 inches off each pad for almost every goalie this year) and it seems offense has the edge early in the year when team defense and communication is not clicking at 100% yet.

So for this game I'll once again back the road dog (thats all 5 to start the year) and also sprinkle in the over....as well as the salami over.

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