renorunner2's Playbook

1-4 of 4 comments

11/27/2012 3:20 AM

#1Posted: 11/26/2012 7:45:32 PM

I have been on NFL and college football so far this year. My record since 10/10/2012 is 42-11-2. Check my space for documentation. I focus on teaser plays with occasional regular side or total recommendations or leans that I don't count on my record. I believe that a two or three play teaser parlay has a better winning percentage than a tight lined straight bet, with close to the same payout. And with my previous experience in basketball teaser plays I believe they are even more effective than in football, as points scored in one- twos and threes are safer to project than points that come in three and six and one, or even two as we see in football. With that said, I will go ahead and post my first picks. I would not go under four points if you really have a strong opinion on the play, but I usually stay with six points.

HOU +1

SAC +4.5

LAL -1.5

The Rockets should be able to win straight-up,

The Kings have handled the Wolves at home,

The Pacers are out of their element on the road against a higher tiered team. Lakers still sorting it out but they will not lose to Indy.

Just a start, thanks for reading my post and GL!

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renorunner2 says:

11/22/2012 3:41 PM

Picks for this coming week including college but this time I'll hold off on the NFL because I have no idea on Turkey day games. Currently I am at 32-10-2 As always these are six point teaser plays. Any regular side or total plays I recommend are not counted on the record.

Syracuse -3.5 They have knocked off higher level teams with an offense that can compete with most top tier teams and a defense that should control a one dimensional Temple offense

Nebraska -8. A strong regular play at -14 but at -

8 very comfortable as a teaser play

Vandy-6.5 With a consistent ats record and emerging passing offense this is another potentially strong regular side play along with a teaser play

Fresno st. -10.5 With a defense that should control the run and a QB that has star potential, I will go ahead and make a regular side play also.

Mississippi +4.5 I think this team has shown enough to make me believe they will prevail over a team with a softer schedule and a revenge mode in a intra-state rivalry.

Minnesota +14 The Gophs have played their best at home and the number is too much for an anemic Spartan offense to cover

Baylor +4 I was impressed with how they ran agai

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renorunner2 says:

11/12/2012 12:14 AM

Teaser King's 11/20/2012 picks review

Quote: Originally Posted by renorunner2]

Strong six point teaser parlay picks for you to kill your books this week:

Louisiana Tech -14

UCF -6.5

Cincinnati -5

Georgia -9

Ravens -3.5

Seahawks -.5 (notice how the last four plays were solid regular side picks as well?)

leans include

SDSU -3.5

Fresno st - Nevada under 74.5

some instinct regular side plays to consider:

Ravens -7.5

Falcons -3

Bucs -3

Seahawks -6.5

Pretty good week. for the record I am only counting my teaser picks, not my leans or regular side considerations.

If you tailed me on UCF, I hope you got it under seven. I guess I have to make the adjustment in capping from stats and rankings to situational, being so late in the season these mid level teams like UCF and LTCH being on the road against lesser teams are content to just win the game. Other than that I did pretty well. Over my record in teasers over the last five weeks is 25-9-1. Check out my blog on this site for future reviews and writeups as I will only post on the forum my picks.

I will also jump into basketball as soon as I can. I have a

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renorunner2 says:

7/16/2011 11:09 PM

I like to read the different posts. I see alot of savvy cappers, some using stats and trends. Others rely on instinct and motivation along with paying attention to the all important mental aspect of the game. I also see those who watch and follow the trendsetters. Which is fine. But it would make for a more solid and vibrant site if all cappers would allow for the diverse number of old and new opinions to weigh in, without trying to use seniority as a tool to supress and control..

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