I have given you the Rays,Royals,Rangers,Astros. Blue Jays, Pirates and the Pads from last year. My team this year is the Brewers which im going to lock down at 79.5 Every year I invest 1,000 into one team. I make very few bets during the season. I have a secret from my wife account that I put a little in every week to make this bet every year. I have a friend that goes to Vegas every year for March Madness and he sometimes places the bet for me. Otherwise ill do it online. He is def going this year so ill give him the money beforehand. After I win my grand I proceed to pay off my fantasy leagues and losing the rest on the NFL. Then normally spend a bunch on home heating oil which is fking killing me this year.
The Brewers AKA the Brew Crew. I will probably throw another at ya b4 the season. Ive done two teams only once and won both. (Blue Jays and Pirates) Anyway lets talk about the Crew
1st baseman. Taylor Green/ Corey Hart. For the first month it will be some shlum. After maybe the middle of May its going to be the underrated Corey Hart. Every year Hart puts up respectable numbers. Not sure how well he will play first but his bat makes up for any errors. Expect 24-27 Hr and around 75-80 rbi after he comes back
2nd baseman. Rickie Weeks The time for Weeks to break out and have that amazing season is running out. He was hot the second half last year so hopefully it carries over. I expect Weeks to have his best season. Expect around 17-22 Hr and 77-82 rbi.
SS Juan Segura. A Big prospect in the Angels system wont hit many home runs but will bat in the high 280s and steal quite a few bases. Everyone will know Juan by years end. expect around 40-45 steals maybe a Hr and around 35-40 rbi
3rd base. Aramis Ramirez. Has had one down season basically in his whole career. He should anchor the offense and hit around 25-30 HR and drive in over 100
Of- Ryan Braun. This bet goes to hell is Braun is suspended but if he isnt he is probably the second best hitter in the game. Expect the norm with 38-43 hr and easily over 100 rbi
Of Carlos Gomez. Is he a 20-20 guy or just had a great season. I suspect he is a 20-20 guy. So expect 25-30 steals and around 20-25 HR and a modest number is RBi so lets say 70-75 rbi
OF Nori Aoki- Stealing bases is his game but he can also hit you 10-15 Hr and drive in some runs in which I expect that total to be around 60-64
Catcher. John Lucroy Played half season last year due to injury but his numbers would have been quite impressive over the long haul. I think he is an up and coming star behind the plate and will provide a ton of offense. Expect 80-85 RBi with around 20-25 Hr
SP1 Yovani Gallardo. The most underrated ACE in baseball. HE will give you a decent ERA keep you in games and provide a K per inning. Expect 18-21 wins with a decent era around 3..40 to 3.60
SP2 Mike Fiers. should be a decent number 2 starter but on alot of other team he is a 4. Will K 1 PIP (per inning pitched) and I believe will give you a decent ERa and like Gallardo will keep you in games. Expect 13-16 wins and an era hovering around 3.50 -3.90 180 IP
SP3 Marco Estrada Same type of SP that Fiers can or will be. K 1 PIP and give you a high 3 low 4 era. Expect 13-16 wins and over 180 Ip
Sp 4 Cris Narveson. Not too good of a SP but will give you I. Doesnt K a ton of guys but again he is serviceable. Expect 10-13 wins and an ERA around 4.30- 4.60
Sp 5 Willy Estrada. Should be a good 5 starter with huge upside. He will probably get skipped or cut off ala Strasburg. Not in the same breath as him though but a good 5 and K PIP potential. Expect at least 7-10 wins with a low ERA
Bullpen I dont cover Bullpens since they change so much during the year but this is def the team;s weakest point. Axford has only blown arpound 15 saves in three years but the no name bullpen is easily the worst part of this team and without a STRONG starting staff the pen needs to come thru.
Every year I get alot of arguments about my choice. Bottom line is that you cant argue with 7-0. I dont like that Hart will be out till May but the problem is that he will need at least another month to get his timing down. I hope they hold the fort well enough. I expect a rough first half and a great second half for some reason.
I should be back with another team later this month but this is the one im unloading on.
The Brewers look solid and barring injury I expect them to win at least 85-88 games. They will be on the Reds tails all year. The SP is a slight mess but if everything goes well the SP could be nice. Each starter has good upside.
I expect the Brewers to have a top 3 offense in the NL and hit around 180 bombs. You have IMO 3 maybe 4 starters who can put up huge K numbers. A decent closer in Axford but he isnt Rivera either. I really dont think anyone should worry about this on. I was more nervous last year. 2 things I do NOT like is that they won more than 79.5 last year and im 7-0 and bound to lose. This why im going with two team this season. However place this bet and do not worry about it. This offense is too good not to be above 500.
Season Totals not quite ready yet. I have a few teams in mind but nothing concrete. Many of you may know im 8-0 in over for season win totals. Since 2007
Toronto. Love what they did in the off season. Alot of times teams who go all in it turns into a disaster but there are to many team guy here. Toronto has the goods to win the East. 93-96 wins. Player TO Watch (PTW) Brett Lawrie
Rays. Not much offense but I feel they have just enough to sneak into second. I think they get alot from Will Myers and enough SP and decent RP to get by. 89-92 wins. PTW Will Myers
Red Sox. Sox who of course as a Yankee fan, are a team I love to hate but I feel they have picked up good team first guys. I def. think Lester bounces back and they should get something from Lackey. 86-89 wins. PTW Will Middlebrooks
Yankees. Losing Grandy willl hurt ALOT. losing a 40 home run guy for ten weeks will sting any team. A Rod may sit out the season. Derek Jeter is another year older. The only starter under 30 is Brett Gardner. The SP will be decent enough but they will have a lack of O outside of Tex who is declining, Jeter who is old and Suzuki who will be older then Jeter. 83-86 PTW Kevin Youkilis
Orioles. No way they do what they did last season. They will struggle to win 81 games. Just not enough pitching. 74-77 wins
Tigers- A team this strong shouldnt be allowed! Miggy, Fielder, Martinez is back and then they sign Hunter? Verlander followed by Fister and Max? This team will make the playoffs where anything short would be an epic failure. 99-102 wins PTW Andy Dirks
White Sox- Just seem to have enough to get into the wild card chase. Konerko is solid, Viciedo( sp) will hit 30 home runs, De Aza and Rios are solid enough. Peavy leads a decent staff with Cris Sale barring injury should end the season as a top 5 SP in the A:L 88-91 wins PTW Dayan Viciedo
Royals- Love the pick up of Shields. Didnt like trading Myers however its about time the Royals show they want to win. Lineup is above average as Hosmer should bounce back. He is too good not to. Rotation has a chance to be just good enough to contend for a WC 83-86 wins PTW Mike Moustakas
Indians- Signed some decent players. Swish is awesome in the clubhouse and is good for 25+ home runs. Bourn should be a nice spark. I think they are another off season away from doing any damage 74-77 wins PTW Trevor Bauer
Twins- Not much to say. Going htru a rebuilding phase. Bad SP bad offense. Will struggle to win 70 games. 68-71 wins PTW Trevor Plouffe
Angels- Head will roll is the Angels do NOT win the division if not the world series. SP is a big question mark after Weaver to many but I like Tommy Hanson and think they stoles him from the Braves. Weaver, Wilson who has arm problems and Hanson followed by Vargas and Blanton should be enough to win. They will pound ya also with that lineup. Maybe three of the top 5 hitters in the AL in one lineup. 95-98 wins PTW Tommy Hanson
As. Not other reason than Billy Beane is a fucking genius. Cepedes is a leader and Reddick broke out last season SO will be above average if not strong 82-85 wins PTW Brandon Moss
Rangers lost a alot during the off season and really didnt replace them. Losing Hammy will hurt but not as much as one would think. I love Mike Olt and think he will launch 30 home runs. Think Mark Trumbo. SP is a mess IMO 80-83 wins PTW Mike Olt
Mariners- Made alot of decent move in the winter but not enough to contend. Maybe its time t o bring up those highly touted rookie SP. Maybe a bat or two. 72-75 wins PTW Dustin Ackley
Astros. If you are a fantasy baseball guy like myself, id take a flyer on Cris Carter. He hit 16 homers in like 216 at bats for the As. He may double that in Houston 60-63 wins PTW Cris Carter
ALCS Tigers over Blue Jays 4-0
PTW means basically that his success will make a huge difference in the teams success. I didnt pick the obvious just the lesser player that you dont think of every day that could make a big difference.
Atlanta Cant go against Medlen here. The team simply plays way to well to go against him. But I am not going to wager the sides. Im going to wager the OVEr 6.5 I really think the BRaves are going to go Apeshit vs Lohse. The team is batting .,317 vs him career. No way this game doesnt go well over the total. OVER 6.5
Im thinking Atlanta 8 St Louis 2
Game 2- Texas Baltimore. Im going under the posted total of 9 I think Darvish and Saunders keep it low enough. Both have good bullpens. Im thinking Texas 6-2 or something.
Good luck fuckers.
Well after searching through the season win totals ive come up with a solid choice. You may disagree with me however you cant argue that ive given you winners every year since 2007.07 I gave you the Rays or Royals then the Royals or Rays cant remember which order in 08. Then the Rangers in 09. Then I squeaked by with the Astros. Last year I threw the Jays and Pirates at ya and won BOTH. I am 6-0 in season win totals. So disagree as you may but you have been warned........
I present to you the season win totals for the year
THE SAN DIEGO PADRES. over 70.5
Maybin. Not a great lead-off hitter but he does do everything a bit above average. He can hit the long ball steal bases, score runs. Not your ideal lead-off guy but better choice than others.
Hudson- The O dog is getting old or is old but he still can contribute.He stole 19 bases last year. He hit 7 homers. I think if he can get the average up to around .280 it will certainly help the Pods get to 71 wins. He is enough of a pro to be able to do just that.
Headley- Another guy who can steal bases. Headley was terrible with his power numbers but if he can hit .,300 he will help set up the cleanup hitter along with the number 5 guy. He should get the power numbers up to around 12-15. He is still young enough.
Quentin- Petco will certainly cut into his power numbers but im def. expecting a strong power season from Carlos. Maybe 26-30 home runs. I think he is strong enough for it. Can he stay healthy? Thats the million dollar ?
Alonso- This is an unlucky guy. Finally traded and he goes to the worst home run park in the NL. From what I hear though he still should contend for star status in a few years. I think he does enough this season to make his mark.
Hundley- One of the better hitting catcher until his injury. He should rebound and hit you at least 15 homers and drive in 70-80 runs.
Venable- I like this guy. He is scrappy. He stole 25+ bases last year and still found a way to hit 9 home runs. He did this is just 121 games. Imagine a full season. A perfect run generator.
Bartlett- He isnt the ideal SS you want for your team. However he does steal bases. Another player who can generate runs.
Staffer- Not exactly ace material bt shold improve in his season from last year when he posted a 3.73 ERA. Wont K much but shold keep his team in alot of games. He is truly a gamer.
Richard- Another guy who has never pitched to his true potential. If he can improve on his career ERAS and throw his K pitch more he could be a very good number 2 starter.,
Volzquez- Traded from the Reds. Bursted on the scene a few years ago then lost a season. If he can regain his presence he cold be the teams ace by seasons end.Pitched like crap last year but another full season back from surgery should benefit him greatly.
Luebke- Did you know this guy had more than a K per innning? how about 154 in 139? That means he can be dominate., He also pitched to a tune of a 3.29 ERA. Not bad for a #4 starter as a matter of fact I may jst se him as my super sleeper
Mosely- Yo could do alot worse as a back of the rotation guy
Gregerson setting p Street is a great combo. I dont sspect they will blow many leads at all. I think this team will generate alot of rns and trn ot win after win. I really think they have a shot in the shitty NL west. Give them 83-84 wins and cash your ticket in at the end of the season. You will not have to worry about this one whatsoever.Sorry for any typos I may have missed I tried typing this fast and without looking.
I mean they sign Joe Reyes for106 million they have Hanley on the payroll and every time I read a baseball article I see the Marlins are involved. I dont know about any of you but a new ball park and logo wont make me spend any more money than I normally would. Im a die hard Yankee fan and have been since I was 8. I still havent been to the new Yankee Stadium. Is a new ballpark really going to make the Marlins that much better off financially? What about in three years from now when the novelty has worn off? They offer Pujols 220$ over 10 years which is fine but where the fuck will they get the money and who is going to trade for him when he is 35 making 25 mill a season?
They offered CJ wilson 17 million a year. I understand people will say they can trade these guys off but like I said how are you going to trade these big ass contracts in a few years? Lets say they sign Pujols. Now you have 106+220 plus Hanleys 16 mill/. year they already have -342 million gauranteed over the next some odd years. You think anyone is going to take on Hanleys contract and attitude? Or his 16 mill a year. Sorry but if you want a SS who hasnt been that good for the last 2 years well then your an idiot!
Any answers? Where will the Marlins get the money to pay these guys when the novelty of the new park wears down? You either have the fans or you dont. And judging by the attendance the last decade they dont.