I like the UNDER 8 tonight for a lot of reasons....and I like it very much.
1. This is a must game for both teams. Neither team wants to be put in the must win situation for games 6 & 7. Will be played like a game 5 Yankees/Tigers.....like a game 5 Phillies/Cardinals.....even like a game 4 last night in Texas. Texas was not going to allow any rally last night to really heat up. These must win type games are always played defensively.
2. Carp vs Wilson. You can make the case for both obviously, but I think it is a very strong assurity that one of them will pitch lights out. Perhaps both, but at least one. If one pitcher gives up 2 runs over 8 innings...that is going to make the other team score 7 to win the over 8 bet. I don't see that happening in a game like this.
3. Carp vs Wilson game 1.. Line 7.5 and it was a 3-2 game. Tongith's game is more pressure packed and defensively minded. Wilson will be better because at home. His arm is not shot...that's garbage. Carp is Carp...he will be on tonight because he's a gamer.
4. The masses like the over. The masses lose.
Bet it now before it goes to 7.5 8 vs 7.5 is huge in this game.