The 137th Kentucky Derby runs this Saturday, May 7th, 2011 at the famous Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. The current Kentucky Derby odds at the sportsbook have Dialled In and Uncle Mo atop the list, both at 7/2.
By all accounts, Uncle Mo has recovered 100% from his GI tract infection that he dealt with when he placed 3rd at the Wood Memorial. He has had at least two great workouts at Churchill Downs and looks very good.
Dialed in arrived at Churchill Downs on the weekend, but isn’t scheduled to workout during the week. That shouldn’t be any issue, and in fact, I like him more than Uncle Mo. Aside from the impressive win at the Florida Derby, he has been very consistent in every trip.
Right now, Uncle Mo has a slight lead over Dialed In in terms of betting action, but there’s still five days of betting ahead of us.
The “Run for the Roses” will be broadcast by NBC, with race time schedule for 6:24 PM ET.
Here is a list of the current Kentucky Derby Odds, as of Tuesday, May 3rd. This will be updated throughout the week.
Silver Medallion +4000
Decisive Moment +4000
Watch Me Go +3300
Santiva +2500
Twinspired +2500
Comma to the Top +2000
Animal Kingdom +2000
Pants on Fire +1800
Stay Thirsty +1600
Soldat +1600
Brilliant Speed +1600
Mucho Macho Man +1400
Midnight Interlude +1400
Master of Hounds +1400
Shackleford +1400
Tobys Corner +1200
Twice The Appeal +1100
Archarcharch +900
Nehro +800
Uncle Mo +350
Dialed In +350
We’ll have Kentucky Derby articles and picks all week. You can check all the updated Kentucky Derby odds.
The Atlanta Hawks are coming off one of their most convincing upsets of the season Saturday and tonight in Orlando, it’s the Magic who are on the ropes as they look to even this series at one game apiece.
Online sportsbook have listed the hometown Magic as an 8.5-point favorite and given the Magic’s ATS record as big chalk, it’s no surprise to see more than 70-percent early action on the underdog. Including Saturday’s loss, where the Magic were also laying -8.5, Orlando has lost eight-straight games ATS when laying -7 points or more.
Brian Taylor, manager at Sportsbetting.com, stated “the sports betting public haven’t warmed up to Orlando in this one. After that straight up loss as a big favorite stung bettors the other night, they’re reluctant to back this Magic team as big favorite again. We’re currently sitting with 71% of the action on the underdog Hawks”.
The Hawks stumbled into the postseason, losing six in a row straight-up (1-5 ATS) but with five-straight ATS covers against the Magic it seems Atlanta couldn’t have asked for a better first round opponent.
Atlanta shot an impressive 51.4-percent (38-for-74) in the opener and held the Magic to just 6-of-22 from beyond the arc. Turnovers, which plagued the Magic throughout the season, once again caused nightmares for Dwight Howard as Orlando handed the ball over 18 times – the most of all 16 playoff teams.
OUT OF TRICKS
The ‘magic’ number for Orlando, according to coach Stan Van Gundy, is a maximum of 14 turnovers per game. And while that would be considered an improvement for a club that ranked 25th in the league with 14.9, the fact that they gave up the ball 18 times against Atlanta is a disturbing fact. Only one team in the league, the New Jersey Nets (12.5), created fewer turnovers than Atlanta (12.3) in 2010-11.
NBA PLAYOFF PICK
It wasn’t a fluke that Orlando won 52 games...and they haven’t lost back-to-back home games since March 4-7. One of the focuses for Van Gundy after any terrible performance was better ball control and the usual result was a lower scoring game. That March 7th game stayed under, as did the March 30th trip to Atlanta on the heels of a 113-106 loss to the Knicks. The total for this game has been set at 183.5 and we are projecting a low final.
Pick: Take the Under 183.5.
And then there was one....one single bracket with nary a blemish after the final buzzer of Thursday’s March Madness games. The dream of a perfect March Madness bracket lives.
The perfect bracket belongs to a member from one of our sponsors, SPORTSBETTING.COM. Iowa resident James T. entered their March Madness contest (titled Million Dollar Madness), along with thousands of others. But he alone is the only one able to boast a clean sheet after the first 16 games tipped off the round of 64.
When Morehead State upset Louisville, red scars appeared on brackets all over North America, wiping out a perfect Thursday for more than 95% of all brackets filled out. Those still alive sweated out a spirited Princeton team’s attempt to upset Kentucky (Kentucky won 59-57) and then had to manoeuvre their way through the late round of games.
Wins by UCLA, Cincinnati and especially #11-seed Gonzaga were the main culprits in tripping up the others. Everyone except James from Iowa.
The odds of James making it through Friday’s games with his perfect bracket in-tact are, let’s just say, astronomical. That feat has only been accomplished a handful of times ever, while no one has ever run the table with a complete perfect bracket through to the Championship game.
Sportsbetting.com will be Tweeting (@sportsbetting1) throughout the day tomorrow, keeping track of James’ progress.
We at
BetRepublic.com will be tracking this on Friday, as well as giving out our selections throughout the day.
Good luck James!
Tonight’s contest between the Spurs and Bulls is one of the final two games before the NBA All-Star break. San Antonio (46-9) lead the NBA with a .836 win percentage while the Bulls (37-16), listed by sportsbooks as a -1.5 point favorite, are first in the Central division by 13 games over the Indiana Pacers.
The Spurs have a 6-2 SU/ATS record through the first eight games of their infamous rodeo tour and have been off since Monday’s 17-point win at New Jersey. Leading scorer Manu Ginobili (17.9 ppg) was good for 22 points vs. the Nets and that came on the heels of HC Gregg Popovich’s move to rest his superstar at Washington.
Chicago’s most recent game was Tuesday’s 106-94 SU/ATS win against Charlotte and the Bulls have an 18-7 ATS record off one-day’s rest. Chicago caught the Bobcats off a monstrous upset win the previous night against the Los Angeles Lakers and was able to out-rebound Charlotte 11-6 in the offensive zone. The Bobcats’ downfall, though, was going 2-11 (18.2 percent) from three-point land.
San Antonio is second best in the league with a .396 shooting percentage from outside the arc while the Bulls (.365) rank 11th. Chicago has been playing without leading rebounder Joakim Noah since Dec. 15 but they’ve done a fantastic job. If anything, the physical game may be what suffers most for the Spurs as they play their ninth road game in a row.
Check out this free NBA All-Star Prop Contest
OVER/UNDER
Odds for betting the Over/Under in this contest opened at 190.5; the lowest total between these two teams since Nov. 26, 2008. The Spurs and Bulls have combined for seven-straight unders, which could have a lot to do with the low total, but have a look at recent patterns for each side:
- San Antonio has four overs in its past nine games against teams with a combined win percentage of .292
- The Bulls have played over the total six of their last eight games
Chicago was 5-1 SU/ATS in those six overs, favored by -4.5 points on average and their six opponents allow an average of 96.7 points per game – that’s just a fraction more than the Spurs allow (96.1).
PREDICTION
The Bulls are the ones producing the points in these contests and with home court, against a worn out Spurs team, our play is on the small home favorite.
Pick: Take the Bulls
This midweek sees the
final games from the group stage of the Champions League, who will reach
the knockout stages? We’re looking at the biggest games.
Group A sees Tottenham
Hotspur and Inter Milan locked at the top of the table with ten points
from their opening five matches and both are playing away games this
Tuesday, with Spurs at FC Twente and Inter facing Werder Bremen, with
the aim of topping the group. Of the two sides, Spurs are in better form
and are unbeaten in their last six matches, while Inter have lost three
of their last five games. How will these games go? Let’s look at the
matchups and the updated Champions League odds.
Spurs face a tough task to
claim all three points against an FC Twente side that has lost just one
of its last 22 games at home in the last year, however they have not won
in this year’s Champions League at home and have drawn both games
played. Spurs are patchy on the road and have lost four of their last
seven away games, and they have drawn one and lost one away in the
Champions League this season.
However, with winning the
group at stake we expect them to win this match and we’re backing them
to win the game. Sportsbook have the current odds @ 2.00.
Both Werder Bremen and Inter
Milan are in poor form, with Werder having collected one win their last
nine games and they have earned just two points from their five
Champions League games so far. At home they have won three, drawn three
and lost three in their last nine games, including losing 2-0 to FC
Twente recently. Inter are just as poor and have lost three and drawn
one of their last four away games.
We cannot see either side
winning this one and we’re backing the draw @ 2.98.
In action on Wednesday are
Chelsea, who travel to France to face Marseille. Chelsea have already
topped the group but Marseille need a point to ensure their progress,
but can they get it? Chelsea are in terrible form with the Premier
League champions having collected just two wins from their last seven
games and their away form has seen them lose two and draw one of their
last three games. Marseille are without a win, and a goal, in two
matches but have won five and drawn two of their last seven games at
home. They know they must get something from this game as Spartak Moscow
are likely to beat MSK Žilina and we feel that with Chelsea’s poor form
they’ll take all three points.
Back Marseille to beat Chelsea
@ 2.04.