YTD ATS: 11-7-1, +8.90 UNITS
MEDIUM PLAYS (**): 5-1
LARGE PLAYS (***): 1-0
1-1 yesterday, +.85 unit. Hit my 2 unit play on WKU but lost Oregon 1H.
FRESNO STATE TT OVER 17.5 (-135)***
I know this is a lot of juice... but this is only the third time since 1985 that Fresno has been DD home dogs, let alone by 20+ points. In those games they are averaging 31 ppg. I know it doesn't mean much considering the sample size but it does tell me that these guys will fight at home, especially when they are the dogs. Those familiar with this rivalry know that in 2001 BSU came in and upset Fresno at home, who then went on to lose to Hawaii the week after, killing their chance at a BCS bound season. David Carr was the QB that year and now his brother is backing this current team. Fresno has two major injuries to their secondary, in Phillip Thomas and Derron Smith and Boise has lost their top CB Gavins for the year. I think there will be some points thrown up on the board tonight... and I think Fresno will have every opportunity to try and cash in on that. FYI, last week against Ole Miss, they had half their starting o-line missing who are all back for this game. There is no way FSU gets shut out at home, and I think 17.5 is a very reachable number. In my capping, I see this as at least a TD short.
YTD ATS: 10-6-1, +8.05 UNITS
MEDIUM PLAYS (**): 4-1
LARGE PLAYS (***): 1-0
These WKU seniors have yet to beat Middle Tenn so far in their college careers and I'm guessing that it'll be on their minds tonight. This is an experienced group with 17 starters back from last season (7 O, 8 D) compared to the Blue Raiders who only have 3 starters returning on defense and a new QB (albeit a talented one in Kilgore) Rainey is a beast at RB... he carried the ball 45 times in last years matchup against MTSU. WKU has covered every game in which they've had the rushing edge and I think that trend continues here... MTSU's lack of experience on defense shows as they are #112 in the nation in rushing yards allowed/gm and #112 in total yards allowed/gm.
Looking at the Oregon game still...
YTD ATS: 1-0-1
LARGE PLAYS (***): 0-0
MEDIUM PLAYS (**): 0-0
Blocked extra point pushed my Vikings bet but better that than costing me a loss.
Aside from the plays below, looking at the Bengals, Lions and Steelers.
PACKERS/EAGLES OVER 47.5*** <-- write up posted here
COLTS/TEXANS UNDER 47**
MIAMI -3 (-115)
RAIDERS +7 (-125)
Already have the Chiefs +5 for MNF...
NCAAB 08/09 FINAL YTD ATS: 312-278-11 (52.9%)
So despite me getting raked yesterday (I did say that if I go down, I go down in flames but I parred MSU to the under second half which helped) I'd like to take a moment and say thanks to everyone for another great season. There's a lot of good cappers here on the forums who have all contributed some great insight over the past few months. I've learned a lot and have a little extra change in my pocket too which is nice.
I hope to see you all again next year. I'll be in the baseball forums until football starts up again.
P.S. Big props to Bracks for calling out UNC... spot on bro.
NCAA Tourney YTD ATS: 3-3-1 (50%)
3-3-1 yesterday, +1.7 units. Akron almost hit for my second 3 unit winner... was happily shocked to see they were within 1 with 11 min left when I got off the airplane only to have them implode over the remainder of the game. Should've waited to get it at 13.5... oh well.
Back in Ithaca, and it's 25 fucking degrees... a big change from the 90 degrees that it was in LA two days ago.
Cornell +13 (3 UNITS)
North Dakota St. +10 (1 UNIT)
Cleveland St. +8 (1 UNIT)
Louisville -20.5 (1 UNIT)
Siena +3 (1 UNIT)
Cleveland St/Wake Forest UNDER 137 (1 UNIT)
Kansas/North Dakota State UNDER 144.5 (1 UNIT)
Arizona St/ Temple OVER 124 (1 UNIT)
Utah St/Marquette UNDER 142 (1 UNIT)