YTD all sports since tracking:
30-21, 58.8%, +9.8 units and now !
Tonight is my first night playing hockey games since my new tracking experiment.
3 games on 3-way lines, no overtime:
Detroit +125 (2.0 to win 2.5)
Boston +105 (2.0 to win 2.10)
Florida EVEN (2.0 to win 2.0)
Philadelphia OVER 5.5 (2.7 to win 2.0)
Philadelphia ML +121 (2.0 to win 2.42)
Good luck to all!
https://twitter.com/#!/varsitypicks
Much better day Thursday going 2-1 for +1.8 units. I really thought K-State would cover after we went into 2 OT's...but that's how it goes. I'll take 2-for-3 everyday!
Thursday's plays:
UConn -6 (2.2 to win 2.0)
Detroit -4.5 (2.2 to win 2.0)
Kansas State -3 (got it last night) (2.2 to win 2.0)
Also two Friday plays that I tried to post, but could not via my iPhone (believe me if you wish):
Friday's plays:
Richmond/VCU UNDER 126 (2.2 to win 2.0)
Montana -4 (2.2 to win 2.0)
Overall YTD NCAAB: 10-9 (52.6%) (-1.5u)
Today's Plays to come shortly.....
Tough night last night. Chased some losers, and overbet. tonight will be different! I'm in a hurry, and don't have time for my write up, I'll have more on it later. I wanted to get tonight's picks logged before it's too late:
UConn -6 (2.2 to win 2.0)
Detroit -4.5 (2.2 to win 2.0)
Kansas State -3 (got it last night) (2.2 to win 2.0)
No JV here! So far on the year:
4-2 (67%) +1.8 units
Last Day's Picks
Yesterday I felt really good about the Tulane pick, but hey, you win some and you lose some! Missouri came in as a winner, so I split, paying some juice!
Today I like, and have taken several games:
Vanderbilt -1 (2.2 to win 2.0)
Davidson is dangerous, but I like Vandy here as a close road favorite. Being the "bigger kid on the block" I don't believe playing on the road hurts the Commodores in this situation. Coming off back-to-back OVERTIME losses to two top quality teams in Xavier and Louisville, Vandy will be refocused and ready for a good Southern Conference Davidson team. Davidson isn't a bad team, and Vandy lacks some depth (which hurt them against Louisville), but the 'Dores have the edge overall in this matchup. Davidson played Duke close for a half, and I expect something similar tonight. They will compete, but in the end, competing isn't enough considering they're only getting ONE point. Give the point and take the visitors!
Toledo +12 (1.1 to win 1.0)
Toledo hasn't really played anyone, so keep that in mind when looking at the stats for this game. Looking at pure stats, the Rockets are the inferior team in this matchup. I don't believe that tells the whole story though. Temple may be the better team here, but they are not better by 12 points - especially on the road. I'm taking Toledo and the 12 points!
No JV here!
Season Totals: 3-1 (75%) (+2 units)
Last Day's Picks
Today I'm leaning towards several games, but a couple stick out that I'm going to go ahead and take.
Missouri -7.5 (2.2 to win 2.0)
The Tigers have looked good so far this season, and their strength of schedule is more impressive than 'Nova. 'Nova lost to a good StL team, but has struggled even in some of their wins to lesser quality opponents. Missouri has handled most of their competition with relative ease including a N.D. and Cal team that aren't bad. I would have preferred to get it a little earlier, but I'm giving the points and taking Missouri.
Tulane -2.5 (2.2 to win 2.0)
I've noticed several posters on the boards here are going with the Terriers from Wofford, but I have to disagree. About the only thing Wofford has on their side is that they are playing at home. Tulane is scoring 12 more PPG than Wofford, they are giving up 12 PPG less than Wofford, they are averaging 10% better from the 3-point line than Wofford, and 10% better from the charity stripe. I know the game isn't played on an Excel spreadsheet as a statistical model, but Tulane comes out ahead in virtually every category. I'll give the points and go with the Green Wave!