Hello Covers Brothers
Looking forward to a profitable 2011-12 just like the rest of you. I will shoot for 55-57 percent playing as many games as possible. Let's get that cash boys!!
GSW/LAC UNDER 215.5 2 units 440/400
This total is high. The highest on the board by far. I don't know if Vegas forgot there was no summer league, a short training camp, and a 2-game preseason.
GSW was 36-46 UNDER the total last year and new HC Jackson is a defensive minded guru. While this wasn't a capable run-and-shoot team last year, it sure won't be this year playing under Jackson.
LAC PG Chauncey Billups is a half-court possession minded leader and it will take TIME to integrate him into the offense, also have Caron Butler to work in. 3 of the 4 matchups between these teams were well under the number and I feel there is solid value here.
MIAMI -2 at Dallas 1 unit 220/200
Why play this game early? One I feel Miami is significantly better with less player and coaching transition to deal with. Dallas also lost their Defensive coach and the heart and soul of the defense C Chandler while the Heat remained largely intact. Year 2 of any system shows marked improvement over Year 1. Also the Heat added SF Battier who is just a winning player. I am also on the Heat for the revenge factor. I am laying the Mavs for the Ring Day hangover. It's with the public but I believe it's the correct side fundamentally.
CHI +4 and climbing over LAL
I am holding off this play because I think the line will keep moving for the Lake Show. LAL has personnel issues and an entirely new offense. With 2 preseason games and 1 week training camp I hardly think is enough time out of the triangle. But the public loves LA and despite going 57-25 last year straight up, they were 39-42-1 ats and 15-26 at home. Keep pushing that number up and I will take the points with the Talented -- and cohesive -- Bulls.