Under 42 (3 Unit play)
Unders are 6-1 on thursdays
Minnesota 3-1 Under at home
Tampa 1-1 Unders on the road
Tampas D is underrated.... they have played the #2,3,5 and 8 offenses already
First thread this season...After 7 weeks we have a good sample size. Lets get this ball rolling!!!
Clippers v Warriors
I wish I had posted this thread on Wednesday when I placed my Clippers -3.5 bet, however I still feel the Clippers -5 is a solid play. Here is a little of my insight. The clippers one weakness their void of reserve big men. Good thing the Warriors are average at best in the front court. The Warriors rely on strong guard play, but the Clippers have an amazing set of guards, who are fully capable of matching what Monte, and a banged up Steph can put up. I fully believe the Clips will come out with force and dominate this game. Blake and DeAndre should have excellent games in particular.
Clippers (-5) 2 Units
Here goes nothing.
I've been spending some time doing team write-ups and looking at the team stats to try and find an edge. I believe you will find it interesting. Ill keep adding teams on a regular basis before the season starts.
Atlanta Hawks(44-38)(37-45 ATS)(34-48 O/U)
C: Al Horford
PF: Josh Smith
SF: Marvin Williams
SG: Joe Johnson
PG: Jeff Teague
Notable Bench Players: Kirk Hinrich, Tracy McGrady, Zaza Pachula
Atlanta is a mixture of talented players who on paper seem pretty good, but for whatever reason they always disappoint. The Hawks biggest problem is they have players who are playing out of position. This explains why Atlanta is one of the worst teams when it comes to rebounding. Al Horford should be a power forward, and Josh Smith should be a small forward. Instead of pushing the ball, taking advantage of their small quick team, head coach Larry Drew has the team slow it down. This leads to long drawn out plays, and jump shot after jump shot. The Hawks took no steps in the off season to address their issues, in fact they lost their 6th man and arguably their best 1 on 1 player in Jamal Crawford. The additions of T-Mac and Stackhouse means nothing to me, other then more bad shots, leading to more fastbreak points for the opposition. I hope to see this team getting over valued so I can take advantage of a small Hawks team that relys too much on its outside shot. Looking into playing under the total is something important to remember when playing hawks games.
2010 Advanced Stats that are good:
Defensive Pace(3) Opponents 3PtFG%(3)
Opponents FT rate(3) Shots Assisted(5)
2010 Advanced Stats that are bad:
Opponents TO(29) Pace(27) Points(26)
Offensive Rebounds(29) Free Throw Rate(29)
Please provide any input as to why you might like, or dislike these picks!
TOR/TB U7.5 (-115)
This line moved from 7 to 7.5 which is either a blessing in disguise or a warning of whats to come. Romero vs Price seems like a good match up for an under. 5 of the 8 games these teams played against each other has gone under. Including all 3 in Tampa. Lets go Under!I
Philli ML (-118) RL (+130)
This line is also going to move so jump on it now. I feel like everyone is betting Philli today. Philli has been playing well lately and needs to keep it up if they want to lengthen the gap between them and Atlanta. Colorado is under .500 at home and Cook has had his struggles with Philli in the past.
ARIZ/SF U6 (-120)
God i hate laying 120 for an under of 6 but with the Giants struggles to hit the ball plus Lincecum's past domination of Arizona, one can only assume we have an under here. Im hoping for a 2-1, or 3-2 type of game here.
I will be doing write ups for the Sunday games. I will continue to post them through out the night and would appreciate any insight or corrections you can make to this post. These are my very first write ups so please be gentle haha.
First up Oakland @ NYY